Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 25

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nueva Chicago (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Nueva Chicago		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	3.4	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.9
	2.38	2.68	3.35	Watch
	2.42	2.77	3.65
	2.41	2.67	3.58	Watch
	2.05	2.88	4
	2.38	2.72	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.07)	2.75 ↓ (2.78)	3.61 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nueva Chicago
40.3%

Draw
33.9%

Almirante Brown
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

33.4%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

33%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Nueva Chicago - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Almirante Brown will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz L. (G) 4. Cortes F. 2. Rodriguez J. 6. Aguirre A. 3. Abello D. 8. Rodriguez T. 5. Ortiz S. 10. Cortes B. 11. Molinas I. A. 9. Maggi I. (C) 7. Rodriguez I.	1. Galvan B. (G) 7. Abreliano M. 2. Dattola A. (C) 6. Levi M. 4. Alegre Rojas G. 3. Villoldo T. 8. Iglesias L. 5. Gauna S. 10. Almada T. 11. Gonzalez R. 9. Flores G.
Substitutes
15. Martinez A. 18. Mendoza J. 13. Motroni J. 16. Muscia G. 17. Nouet F. 20. Ortiz M. 19. Vazquez L. I. 12. Velazquez M. 14. Zalazar C.	17. Acosta N. 14. Cardozo E. 15. Cenci B. 18. Escurra J. 20. Garcia D. 16. Machado W. 12. Martinez R. (G) 13. Pizarro P. 19. Vega L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Gonzalez R. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Abreliano M. ⚽,
14', Levi M. 🟨,
39', Aguirre A. 🟨,
43', Rodriguez T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Flores G. 🟨,
58', Cortes F. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
58', Molinas I. A. ↓, Nouet F. ↑,
64', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
68', Gauna S. 🟨,
68', Iglesias L. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
68', Flores G. ↓, Cenci B. ↑,
71', Rodriguez T. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Abello D. ⚽,
79', Abreliano M. ↓, Cardozo E. ↑,
79', Gonzalez R. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
81', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
85', Cortes B. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
85', Aguirre A. ↓, Vazquez L. I. ↑,
90', Almada T. ↓, Machado W. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Cardozo E. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 3.

Nueva Chicago is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Almirante Brown has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nueva Chicago is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nueva Chicago won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Nueva Chicago - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.74%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Nueva Chicago	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Nueva Chicago - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Nueva Chicago	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Nueva Chicago - Mitre	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Chacarita Juniors - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WTWWT
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.25	Chaco For Ever - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Almirante Brown - Mitre	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Colón - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Almirante Brown - Temperley	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.05.25	Almirante Brown - Nueva Chicago	0:0
18.08.24	Almirante Brown - Nueva Chicago	0:1
31.03.24	Nueva Chicago - Almirante Brown	1:0
30.09.23	Almirante Brown - Nueva Chicago	1:0
20.05.23	Nueva Chicago - Almirante Brown	3:0
23.07.22	Nueva Chicago - Almirante Brown	2:2
23.08.21	Nueva Chicago - Almirante Brown	0:3

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