Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 1 - SÖDRA - ROUND 25

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Ahlafors		Lunds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.9	1.6
	4.33	4	1.65	Watch
	4.68	4.23	1.61
	5	4.25	1.5
	4.3	3.95	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (3.42)	4.07 ↑ (3.25)	1.6 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ahlafors
20.3%

Draw
22.5%

Lunds
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

27.5%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

26.8%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ahlafors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ahlafors's form might have worsened.

Lunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lunds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ahlafors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lunds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ahlafors - Lunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Skanberg A. (G) 18. Chidi A. 29. Clason R. 22. Edlund S. 17. Jatta N. 3. Josefsson A. 15. Kocevski K. 20. Lindstrom J. 16. Strandahl N. 8. Tidstrand D. (C) 7. Zetterlund J.	31. Andersson V. (G) 5. Andersson J. 3. Hansson N. 8. Kamp A. 4. Larsson K. 12. Lindquist E. 7. Nilsson A. 9. Olsson L. 17. Salama O. 27. Tipura S. 6. Zetterberg E. (C)
Substitutes
21. Adan M. 30. Alexandersson M. (G) 14. Andersson V. 10. Olsson P. 9. Samuelsson O. 28. Soder H. 11. Valtersson E.	1. Alexandersson A. (G) 22. Asekzai J. 24. Efendic R. 15. Saganger G. 18. Sandstrom A. 10. Sundstrom J.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3).

Recent matches Ahlafors is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lunds is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ahlafors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ahlafors have a series of guest games.

In this match Lunds is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ahlafors won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
30.09.23	Tvååker - Ahlafors	3:0 ✺
22.09.23	Vänersborgs IF - Ahlafors	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Ahlafors - AFC Malmö	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Ängelholm - Ahlafors	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Torn - Ahlafors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWTL
- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
30.09.23	Lunds - Åtvidaberg	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Norrby - Lunds	1:2 ✺
15.09.23	Lunds - Ängelholm	1:2 ✺
10.09.23	Ljungskile - Lunds	0:3 ✺
01.09.23	Lunds - AFC Malmö	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
06.05.23	Lunds - Ahlafors	2:0

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