Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 17

Date: 3 January 2025, Friday

Location: Michel Moretti Stadium (Ajaccio)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Ajaccio		Annecy

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.45	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.55
	3.1	2.8	2.55	Watch
	2.95	3.05	2.67
	3.11	2.86	2.54	Watch
	3	2.9	2.5
	3.06	3.06	2.52	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.83)	2.9 ↓ (3.04)	2.54 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
30.7%

Draw
32.4%

Annecy
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

30.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.9%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Annecy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.6%	27.6%	44.8%

Ajaccio - Annecy Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). Annecy will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Annecy: 26.7% – 62.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 5. Vidal C. 88. Bamba A. 43. Kouassi A. 4. Barreto M. (C) 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 12. Huard M. 25. Anziani J. 27. Kante A. 99. Santelli B.	1. Escales F. (G) 41. Delphis T. 27. Kouadio J. 18. Drouhin A. 21. N'Sakala F. 17. Pajot V. 5. Kashi A. (C) 23. Cisse K. 24. Demoncy Y. 26. Bermont A. 10. Djoco K.
Substitutes
31. Ayessa J. 21. Chegra I. 9. Ibayi C. 10. Jacob V. 8. Puch-Herrantz M. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 22. Soumano M.	16. Callens T. (G) 9. Dago T. 28. Larose A. 34. Riou E. 2. Soukouna H. 20. Tiendrebeogo J. 33. Veniere K.
Coaches
Chabert M.	Guyot L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Demoncy Y. ⚽, Djoco K. (A),
5', Barreto M. 🟨,
10', 1 - 1, Kante A. ⚽,
16', Drouhin A. 🟨,
34', Vidal C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Santelli B. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
57', Kante A. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
63', Cisse K. ↓, Tiendrebeogo J. ↑,
63', Djoco K. ↓, Dago T. ↑,
68', Barreto M. ↓, Jacob V. ↑,
68', Vidal C. ↓, Ayessa J. ↑,
73', Bermont A. ↓, Larose A. ↑,
80', Demoncy Y. ↓, Veniere K. ↑,
80', N'Sakala F. ↓, Soukouna H. ↑,
86', Anziani J. ↓, Puch-Herrantz M. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Dago T. ⚽, Larose A. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Ajaccio has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Annecy is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Annecy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Ajaccio: Khelifa A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Annecy: Ntignee G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Barreto M. (Injury) Huard M. (Injury) Jabol-Folcarelli T. (Leg Injury) Mangani T. (Injury) Strata T. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Pau - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Ajaccio - Paris FC	0:2 ✺
03.12.24	Ajaccio - Bastia	0:0 ✺
25.11.24	Dunkerque - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
15.11.24	Les Herbiers - Ajaccio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Annecy FC
Coupe De France
20.12.24	GOAL FC - Annecy	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
14.12.24	Annecy - Metz	0:0 ✺
06.12.24	Annecy - Clermont	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
30.11.24	Jura Sud Lavans - Annecy	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
23.11.24	Paris FC - Annecy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
09.03.24	Ajaccio - Annecy	1:3
25.11.23	Annecy - Ajaccio	2:0

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