#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Ajaccio 27.7%
Draw 33.7%
Bastia 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
30.3%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
31%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajaccio's form might have worsened.
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bastia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bastia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
75%
12.5%
Ajaccio - Bastia Predictions
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 6 - 12.5%). Bastia will win (votes: 6 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 36 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.8% โ 87.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 23. Strata T. 31. Ayessa J. 88. Bamba A. (C) 12. Huard M. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 25. Anziani J. 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 22. Soumano M. 11. Toure B. 9. Ibayi C.
30. Placide J. (G) 28. Akueson G. 6. Guidi D. 17. Ariss Z. 13. Ducrocq T. 5. Maggiotti J. 27. Tramoni L. 66. Janneh J. 24. Meynadier T. 11. Cisse L. 10. Boutrah A.
Substitutes
4. Barreto M. 6. Mangani T. 8. Puch-Herrantz M. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 34. Silva R. 5. Vidal C. 20. Youssouf M.
15. Bohnert F. 14. Etoga L. 23. Fabri J. (G) 25. Rodrigues C. 4. Roncaglia A. 9. Tomi F. 7. Vincent C.
Coaches
Chabert M.
Tavenot B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
20', Huard M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Youssouf M. 🟨,
66', Bamba A. 🟨,
78', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
81', Anziani J. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,
87', Puch-Herrantz M. 🟥,
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.
Ajaccio is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Bastia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Bastia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Bastia: Traore C.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Ajaccio: Barreto M.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.1:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
Asia
Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Canada
Croatia
France
Germany
Mexico
Switzerland
Usa
World
Watch
#ad
Sollacaro F. (G) 
Strata T. 
Toure B. 
Ibayi C. 
Placide J. (G) 
Akueson G. 
Janneh J. 
Puch-Herrantz M. 
Silva R. 
Youssouf M. 
Bohnert F. 
Etoga L. 
