Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Michel Moretti Stadium (Ajaccio)

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7


	Ajaccio		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.88	2.75	Watch
	2.75	2.87	2.75
	2.8	2.85	2.75
	2.87	2.88	2.92
	2.85	2.83	2.89	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.75
	2.8	2.95	2.78	Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.3)	2.88 ↓ (3.07)	2.79 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
33.6%

Draw
32.7%

Grenoble
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30.6%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

31%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajaccio's form might have worsened.

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grenoble's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grenoble, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.4%	19.5%	78%

Ajaccio - Grenoble Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 1 - 2.5%). Grenoble will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 64.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 23. Strata T. 31. Ayessa J. 88. Bamba A. 43. Kouassi A. 8. Puch-Herrantz M. 10. Jacob V. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 99. Santelli B. 9. Ibayi C. 22. Soumano M.	13. Diop M. (G) 29. Paquiez G. (C) 4. Diarra M. 17. Delos S. 24. Mouyokolo L. 8. Benet J. 31. Mbemba N. 19. Joseph L. 25. Valls T. 11. Bangre M. 38. Jabbari A.
Substitutes
25. Anziani J. 21. Chegra I. 27. Kante A. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 7. Touzghar Y. 5. Vidal C. 20. Youssouf M.	16. Allain B. (G) 7. Ba P. M. 9. Kerouedan A. 77. Mendy A. 6. Rigo D. 10. Sylvestre E. 21. Tchaptchet A.
Coaches
Chabert M.	Tanchot O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Joseph L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mbemba N. ↓, Rigo D. ↑,
48', Ibayi C. 🟨,
49', Santelli B. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Soumano M. ⚽, Jacob V. (A),
60', Ibayi C. ↓, Touzghar Y. ↑,
60', Jacob V. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
61', Delos S. ↓, Mendy A. ↑,
61', Jabbari A. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
68', Soumano M. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Jabol-Folcarelli T. ⚽, Strata T. (A),
72', Benet J. ↓, Kerouedan A. ↑,
74', Jabol-Folcarelli T. 🟨,
78', Bamba A. ↓, Vidal C. ↑,
79', Santelli B. ↓, Anziani J. ↑,
79', Bangre M. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
90+2', Chegra I. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3.

Recent matches Ajaccio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grenoble is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
20.09.24	Caen - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Laval - Ajaccio	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Ajaccio - Troyes	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	Red Star - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	Ajaccio - Rodez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWLW
- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
20.09.24	Martigues - Grenoble	0:4 ✺
16.09.24	Grenoble - Caen	3:1 ✺
30.08.24	Grenoble - Pau	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Lorient - Grenoble	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	Grenoble - Laval	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.05.24	Ajaccio - Grenoble	0:2
04.11.23	Grenoble - Ajaccio	0:3
07.05.22	Grenoble - Ajaccio	1:1
21.12.21	Ajaccio - Grenoble	1:0
30.01.21	Ajaccio - Grenoble	2:1
19.09.20	Grenoble - Ajaccio	2:0
10.01.20	Ajaccio - Grenoble	3:1

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