Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stade des Alpes (Grenoble)

Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Grenoble		Pau

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.4	Watch
	2.98	2.98	2.45
	3.07	3.23	2.52
	2.93	3.19	2.41	Watch
	2.89	3.18	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.18)	3.12 ↑ (3.08)	2.45 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Grenoble
31.4%

Draw
30.2%

Pau
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

30.2%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

29.3%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	28.6%	64.3%

Grenoble - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Pau will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Grenoble (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenoble (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Pau (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Diop M. (G) 17. Delos S. 29. Paquiez G. (C) 5. Vidal C. 4. Mambo S. 26. Mion M. 25. Valls T. 11. Bangre M. 8. Benet J. 23. Elphege N. 7. Diaby Y.	22. Raveyre N. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 23. Briancon A. 25. Ruiz J. (C) 3. Kalulu J. 10. Versini G. 97. Meddah D. 84. Touzghar R. 9. Dong K. 14. Bobichon A. 18. Sadik O.
Substitutes
16. Allain B. (G) 30. Diba S. 9. Kerouedan A. 20. Maurin E. 18. Mbock H. 24. Mouyokolo L. 19. Zahui N.	6. Fall C. 26. Glossoa N. 19. Kante 4. Karamoko S. 7. Messi R. 30. Salles E. (G) 17. Sissoko O.
Coaches
Rizzetto F.	Usai N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Sadik O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Diaby Y. ⚽, Elphege N. (A),
59', Bobichon A. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
59', Dong K. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
65', Diaby Y. ↓, Maurin E. ↑,
67', Meddah D. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
67', Sadik O. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
76', Pouilly T. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
76', Bangre M. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
78', Elphege N. 🟨,
85', Benet J. ↓, Diba S. ↑,
86', Mion M. ↓, Kerouedan A. ↑,
87', Paquiez G. ↓, Zahui N. ↑,
90', Sissoko O. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Fall C. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 0.

Recent performances by Grenoble have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pau is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Grenoble: Bechikh M. (Inactive) Diba S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J. (Inactive) Lebouath S. (Inactive) Messi R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Grenoble: Xantippe M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pau: Beusnard S. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Grenoble won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
04.10.25	Reims - Grenoble	2:4 ✺
26.09.25	Grenoble - Bastia	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Le Mans - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Grenoble - Annecy	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Grenoble - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTLLW
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
03.10.25	Pau - Clermont	3:1 ✺
26.09.25	Rodez - Pau	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Pau - Laval	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Boulogne - Pau	0:3 ✺
12.09.25	Pau - Red Star	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
28.02.25	Pau - Grenoble	1:0
30.08.24	Grenoble - Pau	1:1
24.02.24	Grenoble - Pau	0:1
28.10.23	Pau - Grenoble	3:2
11.02.23	Grenoble - Pau	1:1
10.01.23	Pau - Grenoble	0:0
15.03.22	Pau - Grenoble	0:1

Upcoming Matches