Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 4

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday

Location: Stade des Alpes (Grenoble)

Referee: Thual O. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect, FuboTV
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Usa	beIN Connect, FuboTV, Tubi TV
World	Fanatiz


	Grenoble		Caen

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.35	Watch
	2.87	3.2	2.4
	2.9	3.2	2.45
	3.07	3.2	2.52
	3.01	3.17	2.49	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.4
	2.99	3.15	2.5	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.73)	3.18 ↓ (3.21)	2.45 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español

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Current Win Probability

Grenoble
32.1%

Draw
29.5%

Caen
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.9%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.9%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Grenoble - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Diop M. (G) 29. Paquiez G. (C) 4. Diarra M. 21. Tchaptchet A. 77. Mendy A. 25. Valls T. 6. Rigo D. 19. Joseph L. 31. Mbemba N. 9. Kerouedan A. 7. Ba P. M.	1. Mandrea A. (G) 27. Meddah D. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 29. Thomas R. (C) 28. Lecoeuche Q. 6. M'Vila Y. 10. Brahimi B. 20. Lebreton N. 14. Rajot L. 17. Kyeremeh G. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
16. Allain B. (G) 11. Bangre M. 8. Benet J. 17. Delos S. 23. Elphege N. 38. Jabbari A. 24. Mouyokolo L.	3. Bolumbu D. 16. Clementia Y. (G) 18. Coulibaly K. 7. Gomis T. 8. Le Bihan M. 37. Milliner L. 26. Tavares H.
Coaches
Tanchot O.	Seube N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Mendy A. ⚽, Brahimi B. (A),
12', Joseph L. 🟨,
41', Lecoeuche Q. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Ba P. M. (Pen),
45', 2 - 1, Ba P. M. ⚽, Valls T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Meddah D. 🟨,
60', 3 - 1, Paquiez G. ⚽,
63', Lebreton N. ↓, Le Bihan M. ↑,
63', Brahimi B. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
63', Meddah D. ↓, Tavares H. ↑,
70', M'Vila Y. 🟨,
74', Mbemba N. ↓, Benet J. ↑,
75', Kerouedan A. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
76', Mendy A. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
76', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Milliner L. ↑,
80', Tavares H. 🟨,
81', Mendy A. ↓, Delos S. ↑,
90+3', Joseph L. ↓, Mouyokolo L. ↑,
90+3', Ba P. M. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grenoble won 3.

Grenoble is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Grenoble won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Grenoble won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
30.08.24	Grenoble - Pau	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Lorient - Grenoble	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	Grenoble - Laval	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Grenoble - Martigues	Canceled ✺
27.07.24	Grenoble - Auxerre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLW?W
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
30.08.24	Caen - Annecy	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	Pau - Caen	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Caen - Paris FC	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Caen - Guingamp	1:6 ✺
27.07.24	Caen - Quevilly	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
03.02.24	Grenoble - Caen	5:1
26.09.23	Caen - Grenoble	1:2
18.02.23	Caen - Grenoble	2:1
17.09.22	Grenoble - Caen	1:0
09.04.22	Grenoble - Caen	0:2
30.10.21	Caen - Grenoble	0:1
10.04.21	Grenoble - Caen	3:1

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