Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Martigues		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.45	Watch
	2.95	2.87	2.55
	2.95	2.95	2.55
	3.18	2.88	2.74
	3.12	2.78	2.71	Watch
	3	3	2.45
	3.04	2.97	2.6	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.42)	2.93 ↓ (3.35)	2.58 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martigues
31.3%

Draw
32.2%

Grenoble
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.9%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

28.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martigues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Martigues's form might have worsened.

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Martigues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	13%	82.6%

Martigues - Grenoble Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Grenoble will win (votes: 19 - 82.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 67.1% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Aymes J. (G) 39. Saintini N. 34. Gautier L. 5. Falette S. (C) 22. Djaha A. 3. Solvet S. 12. Robin M. 8. Zouaoui I. 23. Siby M. 27. Ipiele A. 10. Tlili K.	13. Diop M. (G) 29. Paquiez G. (C) 4. Diarra M. 21. Tchaptchet A. 77. Mendy A. 6. Rigo D. 25. Valls T. 31. Mbemba N. 19. Joseph L. 7. Ba P. M. 9. Kerouedan A.
Substitutes
33. Bonalair M. 21. Hadjem Y. 29. Mendy O. 14. Moussiti-Oko B. 19. Ouotro P.	16. Allain B. (G) 11. Bangre M. 8. Benet J. 17. Delos S. 38. Jabbari A. 24. Mouyokolo L. 10. Sylvestre E.
Coaches
Laurey T.	Tanchot O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Paquiez G. 🟨,
44', Solvet S. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Tlili K. ↓, Mendy O. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Kerouedan A. ⚽, Mbemba N. (A),
60', 0 - 2, Joseph L. ⚽, Ba P. M. (A),
62', Zouaoui I. ↓, Hadjem Y. ↑,
63', Rigo D. 🟨,
66', 0 - 3, Mbemba N. ⚽, Valls T. (A),
67', Kerouedan A. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
67', Mbemba N. ↓, Benet J. ↑,
70', 0 - 4, Ba P. M. ⚽, Benet J. (A),
71', Ipiele A. ↓, Moussiti-Oko B. ↑,
76', Valls T. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
76', Ba P. M. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
79', Falette S. ↓, Benabdelouahed K. ↑,
80', Gautier L. ↓, Bonalair M. ↑,
80', Paquiez G. ↓, Delos S. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Martigues is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grenoble is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Grenoble have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
13.09.24	Pau - Martigues	3:0 ✺
30.08.24	Martigues - Bastia	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Annecy - Martigues	2:4 ✺
19.08.24	Martigues - Lorient	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Grenoble - Martigues	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWL?
- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
16.09.24	Grenoble - Caen	3:1 ✺
30.08.24	Grenoble - Pau	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Lorient - Grenoble	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	Grenoble - Laval	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Grenoble - Martigues	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLW?

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.08.24	Grenoble - Martigues	Canceled

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