Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE WOMEN - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 20 December 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Germany	18:45	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	17:45	Eleven Sports 5


	Ajax		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.62
	4.6	3.9	1.63
	4.5	3.75	1.63
	4.83	3.88	1.67
	4.6	3.8	1.55
	4.65	3.92	1.64
	4.5	3.9	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.79)	3.85 ↓ (4)	1.63 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
20.2%

Draw
23.7%

Bayern Munich
56.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.8%

22.5%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

22.1%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ajax - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Eijk R. (G) 18. Keijzer M. 8. Spitse S. (C) 25. De Sanders K. 11. Weerden A. 10. Noordam N. 21. van Gool R. 20. Yohannes L. 15. Grant C. 7. Leuchter R. 19. Hoekstra T.	22. Grohs M. (G) 7. Gwinn G. 4. Viggosdottir G. (C) 13. Tainara 19. Naschenweng K. 25. Zadrazil S. 31. Stanway G. 10. Dallmann L. 12. Lohmann S. 20. Kett F. 9. Damnjanovic J.
Substitutes
24. De Klonia D. 12. Hoekstra I. 17. Jansen B. 26. Kardinaal I. 23. Keukelaar L. 13. Nienhuis L. (G) 16. Noordman D. 22. Sabajo Q. 29. Tolhoek D. 31. Van der Wal D. (G) 6. van de Velde J. 5. Verhoeve S.	18. Bayings J. 3. Belloumou I. 35. Ernst S. 6. Hansen T. 21. Harder P. 26. Kerr S. 16. Magull L. 23. Nayler E. (G) 8. Rall M. 41. Wellmann A. (G)
Coaches
Bakker S.	Straus A.

Preview

Recent matches Ajax is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bayern is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Ajax have a series of guest games.

In this match Bayern is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Ajax Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
17.12.23	Ajax - ADO Den Haag	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
14.12.23	Bayern Munich - Ajax	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
09.12.23	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	3:3 ✺
26.11.23	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
23.11.23	Roma - Ajax	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTTWL
- FC Bayern Munich Women
German Bundesliga Women
17.12.23	Nürnberg - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
14.12.23	Bayern Munich - Ajax	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
11.12.23	Bayern Munich - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
23.11.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
19.11.23	Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
14.12.23	Bayern Munich - Ajax	1:1
16.12.20	Bayern Munich - Ajax	3:0
10.12.20	Ajax - Bayern Munich	1:3

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