Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE WOMEN - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 23 November 2023, Thursday


	Roma		Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.4	5.5
	1.47	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4.79	5.86
	1.48	4.79	5.86
	1.4	4.4	5.5
	1.44	4.65	5.8
	1.49	4.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.82)	4.58 ↑ (3.8)	5.63 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
63.4%

Draw
20.2%

Ajax
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

24.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

23.8%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roma's performance.

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Roma - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ceasar C. (G) 3. Di Guglielmo L. 2. Minami M. 32. Linari E. 13. Bartoli E. (C) 23. Feiersinger L. 8. Kumagai S. 10. Giugliano M. 7. Viens E. 9. Giacinti V. 11. Haavi E.	1. van Eijk R. (G) 18. Keijzer M. 8. Spitse S. (C) 26. Kardinaal I. 11. Weerden A. 10. Noordam N. 21. van Gool R. 16. Noordman D. 15. Grant C. 7. Leuchter R. 19. Hoekstra T.
Substitutes
14. Aigbogun E. 16. Ciccotti C. 18. Glionna B. 20. Greggi G. 1. Korpela T. (G) 19. Latorre B. 87. Ohrstrom S. (G) 15. Serturini A. 57. Testa S. 21. Tomaselli M. 6. Valdezate O.	24. De Klonia D. 25. De Sanders K. 12. Hoekstra I. 17. Jansen B. 23. Keukelaar L. 13. Nienhuis L. (G) 22. Sabajo Q. 29. Tolhoek D. 31. Van der Wal D. (G) 6. van de Velde J. 5. Verhoeve S. 20. Yohannes L.
Coaches
Spugna A.	Bakker S.

Preview

Roma in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ajax is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Roma have a series of guest games.

In this match Roma is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Roma to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma Women
Italian Serie A Women
19.11.23	Sassuolo - Roma	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
15.11.23	Bayern Munich - Roma	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
11.11.23	Roma - Napoli	6:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
08.11.23	Cesena - Roma	0:6 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
05.11.23	Juventus - Roma	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWWW
- AFC Ajax Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
19.11.23	Ajax - Twente	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
15.11.23	Ajax - Paris Saint-Germain	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
10.11.23	Zwolle - Ajax	1:3 ✺
05.11.23	Ajax - Utrecht	5:2 ✺
22.10.23	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LWWWW

Roma - Ajax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide