Match Info

ICELAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 10

Date: 7 July 2023, Friday

Location: Akranesvöllur (Akranes)


	Akraness		Njarðvík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.23	6	7.75
	1.26	6.61	9.27
	1.2	5.8	8.5
	1.23	6.45	9.3
	1.23	6	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.37)	6.17 ↑ (4.75)	8.6 ↑ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akraness
74.5%

Draw
14.8%

Njarðvík
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

19.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

18.2%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akraness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akraness's performance.

Njarðvík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Njarðvík than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Akraness - Njarðvík Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Akraness will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Njarðvík will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Akraness: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson A. (G) 2. Einarsson H. 6. Gislason J. G. E. 5. Hjorleifsson A. 9. Jonsson V. 8. Sigurdsson I. 88. Smarason A. (C) 20. Thorlaksson I. 10. Thorsteinsson S. 17. Unnarsson G. 3. Vall J.	12. Birrou W. (G) 7. Ananias J. 2. Arnarsson A. 9. Diouck O. (C) 24. Hermannsson H. 8. Hogg K. 14. Kelaart O. 4. Magnusson O. 3. Markusson S. 6. Sigurdsson G. M. 11. Victor R.
Substitutes
24. Adalgeirsson F. 25. Agustsson A. 7. Finnbogason A. 22. Hardarson J. 27. Heimisson A. 31. Hodzic D. (G) 4. Jonsson H.	28. Arnarsson H. 17. Bernhardsson T. 18. Hakim L. 25. Johannsson K. 22. Magnusson M. 20. Ragnarsson V. 27. Thorisson T.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Akraness is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Njarðvík is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Njarðvík could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Akraness is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Akraness won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Akraness won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Akraness
Icelandic Division 1
29.06.23	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	4:0 ✺
23.06.23	Selfoss - Akraness	3:4 ✺
16.06.23	Akraness - Throttur Reykjavik	6:3 ✺
09.06.23	Ægir - Akraness	0:1 ✺
01.06.23	Akraness - Fjölnir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL
- Njarðvík
Icelandic Division 1
02.07.23	Leiknir Reykjavík - Njarðvík	3:0 ✺
24.06.23	Njarðvík - Thor Akureyri	2:2 ✺
16.06.23	Afturelding - Njarðvík	7:2 ✺
08.06.23	Njarðvík - Selfoss	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Vestri - Njarðvík	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
09.08.18	Njarðvík - Akraness	1:2
25.05.18	Akraness - Njarðvík	2:2
Icelandic League Cup
15.02.18	Njarðvík - Akraness	3:2

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