Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Pavlodar)

Referee: Sultangaliev R. (Kaz)


	Aksu		Zhetysu

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	1.85	3.47	3.6
	1.83	3.4	3.7
	1.86	3.68	3.76	Watch
	1.86	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.48)	3.55 ↓ (3.68)	3.59 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aksu
49.1%

Draw
25.6%

Zhetysu
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

25.5%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

25.2%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aksu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aksu's performance.

Zhetysu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zhetysu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aksu than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aksu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zhetysu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Aksu - Zhetysu Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aksu will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Zhetysu will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trofimets I. (G) 2. Akhmetov Y. 15. Bryan 18. Eskic N. 5. Obilor F. (C) 93. Osuchukwu C. 7. Silva T. 70. Suley A. 17. Turlybek M. 8. Zhaksybaev U. 40. Zhyrgalbek K.	86. Shabanov A. (G) 13. Amirseitov I. (C) 11. Ardazishvili R. 10. Atykhanov R. 24. Cuckic N. 26. Hassani I. 19. Nazarenko P. 5. Orynbassar R. 18. Stojanovic J. 9. Teverov R. 27. Tsintsadze M.
Substitutes
30. Agimanov T. 25. Esimov R. 21. Golubnichi M. (G) 9. Guedes L. 10. Karaman D. 11. Marat D. 19. Popov A. 6. Sagnayev S. 20. Zemko E. 3. Zhilov I.	7. Adil A. 25. Aleksic D. 2. Aslan R. 23. Baltabekov A. 14. Esimbekov D. 17. Nurbol N. 35. Nurmukhametov R. (G) 20. Pasechenko A. (G) 15. Turysbek B. 77. Zidan F.
Coaches
Masudov V.	Kozhabergenov A.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Aksu is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zhetysu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zhetysu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aksu will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aksu
Kazakh Premier League
24.05.23	Aksu - Astana	0:1 ✺
20.05.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Aksu	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Aksu - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Aktobe - Aksu	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
30.04.23	Aksu - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
20.05.23	Zhetysu - Atyrau	0:3 ✺
13.05.23	Kyzylzhar - Zhetysu	1:0 ✺
07.05.23	Zhetysu - Okzhetpes	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.23	Zhetysu - Kyzylzhar	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
22.04.23	Makhtaaral - Zhetysu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWTW

Upcoming Matches