Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Žetisu Stadion (Taldykorgan)

Referee: Chekhovsky G. (Kaz)


	Zhetysu		Okzhetpes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3.10	2.20
	2.75	3.05	2.25	Watch
	2.94	3.38	2.29
	2.58	3.32	2.51	Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.20
	3.14	3.25	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (4.33)	3.2 ↓ (3.99)	2.29 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhetysu
31.6%

Draw
28.5%

Okzhetpes
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

23.3%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

22.3%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhetysu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zhetysu's performance.

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Okzhetpes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhetysu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Okzhetpes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	15.8%	10.5%

Zhetysu - Okzhetpes Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Zhetysu will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Okzhetpes will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhetysu: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhetysu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Zhetysu (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhetysu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Egorov A. (G) 4. Kashken D. 15. Pajovic J. 3. Luna D. 23. Baltabekov A. 8. Adakhadziev A. 10. Mosiashvili T. 11. Dobay A. 9. Abzalov S. 77. Anuarbekov N. 90. Jovanovic S.	22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 77. Sovpel V. 9. Borodin D. 47. Vasiljev V. 7. Vomenko V. 8. Buribaev N. 19. Omirtaev O. 10. Nurgaliyev E.
Substitutes
31. Akhmetov A. 20. Anuarbek S. 2. Aslan R. 14. Birkurmanov M. 17. Nurbol N. 5. Orynbassar R. 22. Podymskiy D. (G) 57. Umaniyazov M. 21. Zhakipbayev M. 27. Zivanovic M.	91. Abdumannonov B. 67. Atykhanov R. 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 14. Mukanov S. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 16. Shamshi B. 17. Umarov S. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. 4. Zyabko V.
Coaches
Nurdauletov K.	Alyuetov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Buribaev N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Vomenko V. ↓, Mukhametkhanov Z. ↑,
46', Buribaev N. ↓, Abdumannonov B. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Anuarbekov N. ⚽, Baltabekov A. (A),
52', Pajovic J. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Omirtaev O. ⚽,
60', Vasiljev V. 🟨,
61', Adakhadziev A. ↓, Zhakipbayev M. ↑,
66', Anuarbekov N. ↓, Zivanovic M. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Jovanovic S. ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, Omirtaev O. ⚽, Mukhametkhanov Z. (A),
77', Omirtaev O. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
83', Kashken D. 🟨,
86', Abzalov S. ↓, Nurbol N. ↑,
86', Kashken D. ↓, Orynbassar R. ↑,
89', Zhangylyshbay T. 🟨,
90', Nurbol N. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 2.

Zhetysu has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Okzhetpes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhetysu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45
16	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	5	7	14	26:44	-18	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
28.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Zhetysu	3:2 ✺
23.05.26	Zhetysu - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Ordabasy - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Ordabasy - Zhetysu	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
09.05.26	Zhetysu - Zhenis	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
28.05.26	Okzhetpes - Aktobe	2:2 ✺
22.05.26	Altai Semey - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Okzhetpes - Astana	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
09.08.25	Okzhetpes - Zhetysu	1:2
11.05.25	Zhetysu - Okzhetpes	1:3
12.08.23	Okzhetpes - Zhetysu	2:1
07.05.23	Zhetysu - Okzhetpes	1:0
Kazakh First League
04.10.22	Zhetysu - Okzhetpes	1:1
30.04.22	Okzhetpes - Zhetysu	2:1
Kazakh Premier League
08.11.20	Okzhetpes - Zhetysu	0:1

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