Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Žetisu Stadion (Taldykorgan)

Referee: Gorda D. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Zhetysu		Atyrau

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.1
	2.38	2.88	3.1	Watch
	2.29	2.84	3.4
	2.37	2.62	3.53	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.25
	2.43	2.91	3.24	Watch
	2.4	2.85	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.63)	2.8 ↓ (3.07)	3.15 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhetysu
38.8%

Draw
32.4%

Atyrau
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

30%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

28.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhetysu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atyrau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Zhetysu - Atyrau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zhetysu will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Atyrau will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhetysu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Podymskiy D. (G) 4. Kashken D. 15. Pajovic J. 3. Luna D. 11. Dobay A. 8. Adakhadziev A. 7. Muzhikov S. (C) 23. Baltabekov A. 77. Anuarbekov N. 27. Zivanovic M. 21. Zhakipbayev M.	1. Khatkevich E. (G) 2. Tkachenko Y. 6. Yudenkov R. 5. Satanov S. 10. Dzhumatov R. (C) 4. Rabiu M. 55. Noyok O. 17. Kalmuratov K. 14. Dorofeev K. 7. Henrique 18. Trufanov Y.
Substitutes
9. Abzalov S. 20. Anuarbek S. 14. Birkurmanov M. 1. Egorov A. (G) 30. Ertis S. 90. Jovanovic S. 19. Kovacevic M. 17. Nurbol N. 57. Umaniyazov M.	9. Abdulla A. 27. Berdesh N. 99. Kereev B. 21. Orynbasar D. 77. Pangerey M. 12. Sagat N. (G) 11. Seytkaliev A. 90. Yusov D. 25. Zhumagali S.
Coaches
Nurdauletov K.	Cheburin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Zhakipbayev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Anuarbekov N. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
57', Zhakipbayev M. 🟨,
65', Dzhumatov R. 🟨,
72', Zivanovic M. ↓, Abzalov S. ↑,
73', Trufanov Y. ↓, Yusov D. ↑,
76', Adakhadziev A. 🟨,
83', Adakhadziev A. ↓, Umaniyazov M. ↑,
89', Henrique ↓, Seytkaliev A. ↑,
90+1', Muzhikov S. ↓, Birkurmanov M. ↑,
90+3', Birkurmanov M. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 2.

Zhetysu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atyrau has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zhetysu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zhetysu has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhetysu won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23
16	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	5	7	14	26:44	-18	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
17.05.26	Ordabasy - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Ordabasy - Zhetysu	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
09.05.26	Zhetysu - Zhenis	2:3 ✺
02.05.26	Kaisar - Zhetysu	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLTW
- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
17.05.26	Aktobe - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Atyrau - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	0:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.04.26	Astana - Atyrau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	0:2
Kazakh Premier League
17.08.25	Zhetysu - Atyrau	0:0
17.05.25	Atyrau - Zhetysu	1:1
03.11.24	Zhetysu - Atyrau	0:2
30.03.24	Atyrau - Zhetysu	0:1
30.07.23	Atyrau - Zhetysu	0:1
20.05.23	Zhetysu - Atyrau	0:3

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