Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Kaysar Arena (Kyzylorda)

Referee: Chekhovsky G. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kaisar		Aktobe

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.10	2.30
	2.9	3.05	2.32	Watch
	2.88	3.2	2.36
	2.86	3.16	2.38	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.3
	3.03	3.26	2.31	Watch
	2.85	3	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.51)	3.12 ↓ (3.33)	2.32 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaisar
31.7%

Draw
29.2%

Aktobe
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27.8%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

27.4%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaisar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaisar's form might have worsened.

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaisar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Kaisar - Aktobe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salaydin N. (G) 15. Idrisov N. 25. Bukorac S. 43. Klaidher 2. Redzhepov T. 42. Miqueias 24. Cuckic N. 47. Konlimkos B. 11. Moses V. 70. Ezekiel I. 10. Agostinho	16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 31. Tanzharikov A. 23. Erlanov T. 4. Kusyapov T. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 6. Atanasov J. 20. Zhukov G. 14. Pibe 17. Nani 7. Sosah D. 95. Aymbetov A.
Substitutes
9. Agzambaev N. 93. Askarov S. 14. Gustavo Zago 6. Kaldybekov E. 5. Kenesbek A. 40. Kovac A. (G) 96. Mukhammed A. 18. Rustemuly D. 7. Tazhibay B. 3. Tolegenov A. 17. Zhumabekov S. 23. Zhumat M.	21. Alvarez P. 13. Miangue S. 9. Ojo S. 18. Ordets I. 22. Seydakhmet E. 11. Shushenachev A. 12. Topalov D. 1. Trofimets I. (G) 57. Umaniyazov M. 77. Zaria G.
Coaches
Ferapontov A.	Cherevchenko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Moses V. ⚽, Konlimkos B. (A),
30', Erlanov T. 🟨,
41', Klaidher 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Moses V. 🟨,
54', Tanzharikov A. 🟨,
58', Konlimkos B. ↓, Agzambaev N. ↑,
58', Moses V. ↓, Mukhammed A. ↑,
61', Aymbetov A. ↓, Shushenachev A. ↑,
66', Kusyapov T. ↓, Alvarez P. ↑,
76', Agostinho ↓, Kaldybekov E. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Sosah D. ⚽,
78', Salaydin N. 🟨,
78', Shushenachev A. 🟨,
83', Idrisov N. ↓, Kenesbek A. ↑,
84', Ezekiel I. ↓, Gustavo Zago ↑,
84', Zhukov G. ↓, Seydakhmet E. ↑,
84', Pibe ↓, Ojo S. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Sosah D. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kaisar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aktobe has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaisar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	38:31	7	42
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda	26	4	12	10	22:33	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Cup
29.07.26	Kaisar - Zhenis	3:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.07.26	Yelimay Semey - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Kaisar - Kaspiy Aktau	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Ulytau - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Kaisar - Ertis Pavlodar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTLT
- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
09.08.26	Atyrau - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kyzylzhar - Aktobe	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Aktobe - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Altai Semey - Aktobe	2:4 ✺
12.07.26	Astana - Aktobe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
10.05.26	Aktobe - Kaisar	3:0
14.05.25	Kaisar - Aktobe	1:2
06.04.25	Aktobe - Kaisar	4:1
18.08.24	Aktobe - Kaisar	1:1
Kazakh League Cup
25.05.24	Aktobe - Kaisar	2:0
Kazakh Premier League
01.03.24	Kaisar - Aktobe	1:3
22.07.23	Aktobe - Kaisar	1:0

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