Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Atoyan Stadium (Oral)

Referee: Gauzer A. (Kaz)


	Akzhayik		Aktobe

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.87
	3.6	3	1.9
	3.5	3.3	1.92
	3.35	3.33	1.97
	3.75	3.1	1.91
	3.58	3.32	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.35	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.52)	3.23 ↑ (3.04)	1.92 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akzhayik
25.2%

Draw
27.9%

Aktobe
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

29.8%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

29.3%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akzhayik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akzhayik than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	13.3%	73.3%

Akzhayik - Aktobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Akzhayik will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Aktobe will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aktobe: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Akzhayik won 3.

Recent matches Akzhayik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aktobe in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Aktobe have a series of home games.

Aktobe will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Akzhayik won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Akzhayik won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Akzhayik
Kazakh Premier League
15.09.22	Aksu - Akzhayik	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Akzhayik - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
05.09.22	Astana - Akzhayik	4:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
31.08.22	Kairat - Akzhayik	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.08.22	Akzhayik - Atyrau	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLLWW
- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
14.09.22	Aktobe - Taraz	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Makhtaaral - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
05.09.22	Aktobe - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ✺
26.08.22	Aktobe - Aksu	1:0 ✺
21.08.22	Aktobe - Ordabasy	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
02.05.22	Aktobe - Akzhayik	2:1
Kazakh Cup
07.08.21	Akzhayik - Aktobe	2:1
11.07.21	Aktobe - Akzhayik	0:2
Kazakh Premier League
02.07.21	Aktobe - Akzhayik	2:1
24.04.21	Akzhayik - Aktobe	1:0
18.08.18	Akzhayik - Aktobe	0:0
28.07.18	Akzhayik - Aktobe	1:1

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