Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Alpamys Batyr (Atakent)


	Makhtaaral		Aktobe

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.7
	4.2	3.35	1.65
	4.4	3.53	1.66
	3.9	3.4	1.78
	4.7	3.74	1.68	Watch
	4.3	3.85	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.36)	3.55 ↑ (3.26)	1.69 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Makhtaaral
21.2%

Draw
25.5%

Aktobe
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

28.4%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Makhtaaral has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Makhtaaral's form might have worsened.

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aktobe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Makhtaaral than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Makhtaaral, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aktobe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Makhtaaral - Aktobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Makhtaaral will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Aktobe will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayrapetyan A. (G) 21. Aripov D. (C) 12. Braga V. 96. Charleston 3. Dairov N. 23. Dobay A. 8. Doumbia S. 81. Karimov R. 77. Pairuz Z. 5. Yudenkov R. 11. Zhangylyshbay T.	1. Pokatilov S. (G) 93. Elder Santana 6. Kasym A. 80. Kenesov A. 15. Niangbo A. 19. Raickovic M. 77. Shomko D. (C) 5. Strumia L. 31. Tanzharikov A. 11. Videmont H. 88. Yashin D.
Substitutes
10. Abdurakhmanov O. 31. Duyseshov S. 35. Kalmykov N. (G) 30. Kone D. 9. Mukhamed A. 6. Parunashvili L. 55. Potapov E. 14. Serikbay M. 4. Zhaksylykov Z. 91. Zhangaliev Z. (G)	7. Baytana B. 76. Izbasarov N. 41. Lobantsev M. (G) 10. Samorodov M. 17. Umaev I. 9. Zhumabek A. 44. Zulpa A.
Coaches
Nurdauletov K.	Karpovich A.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Makhtaaral won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Aktobe is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Makhtaaral won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Makhtaaral won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Makhtaaral
Kazakh Premier League
25.06.23	Aktobe - Makhtaaral	1:1 ✺
04.06.23	Kaisar - Makhtaaral	0:2 ✺
27.05.23	Makhtaaral - Kairat	3:1 ✺
21.05.23	Tobol Kostanay - Makhtaaral	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Makhtaaral - Ordabasy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 TWWLL
- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
25.06.23	Aktobe - Makhtaaral	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Aktobe - Shakhter Karagandy	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Kaisar - Aktobe	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Aktobe - Kaspiy Aktau	0:0 ✺
14.05.23	Kairat - Aktobe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
25.06.23	Aktobe - Makhtaaral	1:1
10.09.22	Makhtaaral - Aktobe	1:1
Kazakh Cup
06.08.22	Aktobe - Makhtaaral	1:0
09.07.22	Makhtaaral - Aktobe	3:2
Kazakh Premier League
23.04.22	Aktobe - Makhtaaral	1:0
Kazakh First League
16.10.20	Aktobe - Makhtaaral	2:0
18.09.20	Makhtaaral - Aktobe	0:0

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