Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Atoyan Stadium (Oral)

Referee: Kuchma A. (Kaz)


	Akzhayik		Shakhter Karagandy

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.7
	2.48	3	2.48
	2.4	3.15	2.65
	2.42	3.28	2.95
	2.34	3.2	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.63)	3.15 ↑ (3.09)	2.72 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akzhayik
37.8%

Draw
28.8%

Shakhter Karagandy
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

31.5%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akzhayik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akzhayik than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Akzhayik - Shakhter Karagandy Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Akzhayik will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Shakhter Karagandy will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhter Karagandy: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Akzhayik won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Akzhayik won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Akzhayik won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Akzhayik
Kazakh Premier League
05.09.22	Astana - Akzhayik	4:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
31.08.22	Kairat - Akzhayik	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.08.22	Akzhayik - Atyrau	4:2 ✺
20.08.22	Akzhayik - Kaspiy Aktau	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.08.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Akzhayik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWWL
- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh Premier League
04.09.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Taraz	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
31.08.22	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.08.22	Makhtaaral - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
14.08.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
23.04.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Akzhayik	0:1
22.06.21	Akzhayik - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1
13.04.21	Shakhter Karagandy - Akzhayik	1:2
30.09.18	Shakhter Karagandy - Akzhayik	1:0
07.07.18	Shakhter Karagandy - Akzhayik	1:2
28.04.18	Akzhayik - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1
24.09.17	Akzhayik - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2

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