Match Info

Date: 5 September 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Astana Arena (Nur-Sultan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sakhi D. (Kaz)


	Astana		Akzhayik

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.6	7.75
	1.25	4.5	8
	1.33	4.4	7.4
	1.33	5.01	9.64
	1.27	4.4	10
	1.32	4.7	8.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.46)	4.6 ↑ (4.56)	8.48 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
69.6%

Draw
19.7%

Akzhayik
10.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20.6%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

20.2%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astana's performance.

Akzhayik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akzhayik than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Astana - Akzhayik Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Akzhayik will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Astana: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Astana won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Astana is indisputable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Astana won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Astana won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
Kazakh Cup
31.08.22	Astana - Makhtaaral	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
27.08.22	Taraz - Astana	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Astana - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
14.08.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	1:7 ✺
07.08.22	Astana - Zhetysu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWWT
- FC Akzhayik
Kazakh Cup
31.08.22	Kairat - Akzhayik	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.08.22	Akzhayik - Atyrau	4:2 ✺
20.08.22	Akzhayik - Kaspiy Aktau	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.08.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Akzhayik	2:1 ✺
05.08.22	Akzhayik - Kaisar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
16.04.22	Akzhayik - Astana	1:0
11.09.21	Akzhayik - Astana	0:1
Kazakh Cup
01.08.21	Akzhayik - Astana	3:0
25.07.21	Astana - Akzhayik	1:0
Kazakh Premier League
28.04.21	Astana - Akzhayik	1:0
23.09.18	Akzhayik - Astana	1:2
23.05.18	Akzhayik - Astana	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
31.10.26	Zhetysu - Astana	✺

Astana - Akzhayik