Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: KAZAKHSTAN CUP - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Astana Arena (Astana) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kuchin A. (Kaz)


	Akzhayik		Ordabasy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.87
	4	3.55	1.73
	3.57	3.46	1.82
	3.7	3.25	1.8
	4.3	3.44	1.76
	4.1	3.4	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (6.8)	3.4 ↓ (3.9)	1.79 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akzhayik
23.3%

Draw
26.5%

Ordabasy
50.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.3%

23.2%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

22.7%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akzhayik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akzhayik's performance.

Ordabasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ordabasy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akzhayik than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akzhayik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ordabasy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	9.5%	0%

Akzhayik - Ordabasy Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Akzhayik will win (votes: 19 - 90.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Akzhayik: 78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Neutral location - Astana Arena.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Akzhayik won 0.

Recent matches Akzhayik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ordabasy is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Akzhayik have a series of home games.

In this match Ordabasy is certain favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Akzhayik won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 13-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Akzhayik won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Akzhayik
Kazakh Premier League
06.11.22	Akzhayik - Tobol Kostanay	1:3 ✺
29.10.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Akzhayik	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Akzhayik - Kyzylzhar	2:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
19.10.22	Akzhayik - Taraz	5:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
14.10.22	Akzhayik - Taraz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTWT
- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League
06.11.22	Makhtaaral - Ordabasy	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Ordabasy - Aktobe	2:2 ✺
24.10.22	Aksu - Ordabasy	2:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
19.10.22	Astana - Ordabasy	2:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
14.10.22	Ordabasy - Shakhter Karagandy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
25.06.22	Akzhayik - Ordabasy	0:1
17.03.22	Ordabasy - Akzhayik	2:0
12.06.21	Akzhayik - Ordabasy	0:1
05.04.21	Ordabasy - Akzhayik	2:1
25.08.18	Ordabasy - Akzhayik	1:0
23.06.18	Ordabasy - Akzhayik	2:1
14.04.18	Akzhayik - Ordabasy	4:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League
31.10.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Ordabasy	✺

Akzhayik - Ordabasy