The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ordabasy 50%
Draw 27.1%
Aktobe 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
32%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
34.1%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ordabasy's performance.
Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aktobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-17.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ordabasy that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aktobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ordabasy - Aktobe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Shayzada B. (G) 22. Astanov S. 3. Kilama G. 25. Maliy S. (C) 5. Antic N. 77. Abagna D. 16. Capatina M. 55. Amanovic A. 10. Astanov E. 19. Leo Natel 9. Everton
16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 31. Tanzharikov A. 18. Ordets I. (C) 23. Erlanov T. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 80. Kenesov A. 21. Alvarez P. 20. Zhukov G. 10. Zeljkovic A. 17. Nani 11. Shushenachev A.
Substitutes
24. Abdukhalyk A. (G) 15. Amir Z. 23. Khalmatov M. 7. Naumets V. 17. Sultaniyazov Z. 21. Toktybay B. 20. Toktybay M. 13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 14. Turganov A. 11. Vakulko Y.
42. Baydavletov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 52. Kusainov S. (G) 19. Laturnus V. 54. Ospan D. 14. Pibe 22. Seydakhmet E. 49. Toregali N. 1. Trofimets I. (G)
Coaches
Martin A.
Tarkovic S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Everton ⚽,
12', Alvarez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Nani 🟨,
59', Everton ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
66', Leo Natel ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
71', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Pibe ↑,
71', Kenesov A. ↓, Kikbaev M. ↑,
74', Naumets V. 🟨,
78', Capatina M. ↓, Vakulko Y. ↑,
78', Astanov E. ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
84', Zhukov G. ↓, Laturnus V. ↑,
90+2', Antic N. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Amir Z. ⚽, Naumets V. (A),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 0.
Ordabasy has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Aktobe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Ordabasy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ordabasy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Ordabasy won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now
Ordabasy: 69.49%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Ordabasy
26
19
4
3
51:18
33
61
5
Aktobe
26
12
6
8
38:31
7
42
Last Results with these Odds
Ordabasy - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.3%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Kazakhstan
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Shayzada B. (G) 
Kilama G. 
Antic N. 
Abagna D. 
Capatina M. 
Amanovic A. 
Leo Natel 
Ordets I. (C) 
Alvarez P. 
Zeljkovic A. 
Nani 
Pibe 
Martin A. 
Tarkovic S. 
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