Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Pavlodar)

Referee: Sakhi D. (Kaz)


	Aksu		Ordabasy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.4	1.7
	4.44	3.29	1.68
	4.5	3.3	1.7
	4.45	3.62	1.74
	4.8	3.8	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (3.75)	3.48 ↑ (3.31)	1.69 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aksu
20.2%

Draw
26.1%

Ordabasy
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

28.1%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

27.1%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aksu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ordabasy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aksu than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	0%	72.2%

Aksu - Ordabasy Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Aksu will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Ordabasy will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ordabasy: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Golubnichi M. (G) 15. Bryan 18. Eskic N. 11. Marat D. 4. Nyrkov D. 5. Obilor F. (C) 93. Osuchukwu C. 7. Silva T. 17. Turlybek M. 8. Zhaksybaev U. 40. Zhyrgalbek K.	1. Shaizada B. (G) 45. Abdikholikov B. 22. Astanov S. 23. Erlanov T. 88. Jorginho 25. Maliy S. 27. Matic B. 26. Mbodj P. M. 5. Suyumbaev G. (C) 21. Tungyshbayev Y. 47. Vasiljev V.
Substitutes
30. Agimanov T. 9. Guedes L. 89. Gutor A. (G) 10. Karaman D. 16. Krasotin A. 85. Noskov T. (G) 6. Sagnayev S. 33. Solovey A. 70. Suley A. 20. Zemko E.	96. Auro 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 11. Fedin M. 14. Khalmatov M. 29. Sadovski U. 74. Seysen M. (G) 8. Tagybergen A. 20. Tazhibay B. 13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 7. Umarov S. 99. Zhaksylykov A.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Aksu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ordabasy is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Ordabasy is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aksu won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Aksu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aksu
Kazakh Premier League
03.06.23	Astana - Aksu	1:0 ✺
27.05.23	Aksu - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
24.05.23	Aksu - Astana	0:1 ✺
20.05.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Aksu	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Aksu - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL
- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Cup
07.06.23	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
03.06.23	Ordabasy - Atyrau	2:1 ✺
28.05.23	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Ordabasy - Okzhetpes	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
17.05.23	Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
24.10.22	Aksu - Ordabasy	2:2
Kazakh Cup
13.08.22	Aksu - Ordabasy	0:1
17.07.22	Ordabasy - Aksu	2:0
Kazakh Premier League
29.06.22	Ordabasy - Aksu	3:0

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