Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: Premier League - Round 11

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Shakhter Stadion (Karaganda)

Referee: Tassybayev A. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Shakhter Karagandy		Atyrau

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.95	2.1
	3.4	3.1	2.15
	3.43	2.99	2.09
	3.44	2.96	2.1
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.51	3.16	2.16
	3.45	2.95	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.98)	3.03 ↓ (3.18)	2.11 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhter Karagandy
26.9%

Draw
30.1%

Atyrau
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.3%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

28.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Shakhter Karagandy - Atyrau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Tsuprikov E. (G) 15. Savkiv B. 5. Stamenkovic F. 4. Ryzhuk D. 6. Cukovic M. 3. Tolordava A. 11. Abdulla A. 88. Canas R. 8. Nazymkhanov A. 10. Ashortia I. 17. Flyuk S.	1. Khatkevich E. (G) 19. Nadzharyan G. 26. Kerimzhanov O. 4. Zhumakhanov A. 8. Takulov S. 9. Pedro Eugenio 55. Noyok O. 18. Stepanov N. 21. Zhagorov N. 15. Oralbay E. 10. Dzumatov R.
Substitutes
2. Alishauskas E. 18. Altynkhan A. 80. Asprilla J. 20. Bachek D. 30. Bougnone A. 95. Karpikov D. (G) 68. Migunov A. 29. Takhanov D. 9. Tattybaev A. 23. Tutkyshev R. 37. Vasyunkin A. 27. Zubaydilda S.	2. Adambaev A. 11. Adil A. 20. Kaldybekov E. 17. Kayamba J. 7. Novak J. 63. Olimzoda F. 13. Signevich N. 22. Stasevich I. 35. Tokhtarov N. (G)
Coaches
Finonchenko A.	Zhukovski V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Pedro Eugenio ⚽,
38', Cukovic M. ↓, Alishauskas E. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 2, Zhagorov N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Oralbay E. ↓, Signevich N. ↑,
46', Flyuk S. ↓, Tattybaev A. ↑,
47', Tolordava A. ↓, Asprilla J. ↑,
47', Nazymkhanov A. ↓, Altynkhan A. ↑,
50', Altynkhan A. 🟨,
67', Noyok O. ↓, Novak J. ↑,
67', Pedro Eugenio ↓, Kayamba J. ↑,
67', Zhagorov N. ↓, Stasevich I. ↑,
71', Abdulla A. ↓, Takhanov D. ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Stasevich I. ⚽, Kayamba J. (A),
85', Kayamba J. 🟨,
85', Kerimzhanov O. 🟨,
85', Tattybaev A. 🟨,
85', Alishauskas E. 🟨,
87', Nadzharyan G. ↓, Adambaev A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shakhter Karagandy won 1.

Shakhter Karagandy is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atyrau is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Shakhter Karagandy won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Shakhter Karagandy won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh Premier League
02.06.24	Kairat - Shakhter Karagandy	4:2 ✺
19.05.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Yelimay Semey - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaisar	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Zhetysu - Shakhter Karagandy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLTL
- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
02.06.24	Zhenis - Atyrau	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.05.24	Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau	2:0 ✺
Kazakh League Cup
25.05.24	Atyrau - Ordabasy	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
18.05.24	Atyrau - Astana	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
08.05.24	Atyrau - Kairat	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
05.08.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Atyrau	2:2
13.05.23	Atyrau - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1
30.10.22	Atyrau - Shakhter Karagandy	2:2
20.08.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Atyrau	0:0
30.10.21	Shakhter Karagandy - Atyrau	3:1
13.03.21	Atyrau - Shakhter Karagandy	0:1
30.10.19	Shakhter Karagandy - Atyrau	0:1

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