Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: Premier League - Round 4

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shakhter Stadion (Karaganda) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abdullaev B. (Kaz)


	Shakhter Karagandy		Astana

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.8	1.43
	8.5	4	1.4	Watch
	8.4	3.95	1.42
	7.08	3.82	1.42
	5.5	3.6	1.5
	7.44	4.28	1.44	Watch
	6	3.55	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.06 ↑ (3.7)	3.86 ↑ (3.28)	1.45 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhter Karagandy
13%

Draw
23.8%

Astana
63.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.9%

28.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shakhter Karagandy's form might have worsened.

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astana's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shakhter Karagandy - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: Astana will win (19 of 19 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mostovei I. (G) 15. Savkiv B. 5. Stamenkovic F. 4. Ryzhuk D. 2. Alishauskas E. 8. Nazymkhanov A. 88. Canas R. 44. Tyulyubay A. 10. Ashortia I. 9. Tattybaev A. 30. Bougnone A.	93. Condric J. (G) 66. Kusyapov T. 22. Marochkin A. (C) 4. Bystrov M. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 21. Astanov E. 7. Ebong M. 19. Osei B. 28. Camara O. 81. Karimov R. 9. Carlitos
Substitutes
80. Asprilla J. 20. Bachek D. 17. Flyuk S. 95. Karpikov D. (G) 68. Migunov A. 29. Takhanov D. 40. Tsuprikov E. (G) 23. Tutkyshev R. 22. Zakharenko G. 27. Zubaydilda S.	72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 5. Kazukolovas K. 8. Kuat I. 17. Masouras G. 23. Ourega F. 74. Seysen M. (G) 10. Tomasov M. 55. Zarutskiy A. (G) 97. Zhaksylykov N.
Coaches
Finonchenko A.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Canas R. ⚽,
35', Tattybaev A. ↓, Asprilla J. ↑,
37', Savkiv B. 🟨,
40', Alishauskas E. 🟨,
44', Carlitos ↓, Ourega F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Astanov E. ↓, Tomasov M. ↑,
60', Osei B. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
63', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
77', Nazymkhanov A. ↓, Tutkyshev R. ↑,
84', Bystrov M. ↓, Basmanov S. ↑,
84', Ebong M. ↓, Kuat I. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shakhter Karagandy won 0.

Recent matches Astana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shakhter Karagandy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Astana is indisputable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Shakhter Karagandy won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 24-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Shakhter Karagandy won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh Premier League
30.03.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Zhenis - Shakhter Karagandy	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Ordabasy - Shakhter Karagandy	5:0 ✺
29.10.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Ordabasy - Shakhter Karagandy	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
31.03.24	Astana - Yelimay Semey	0:1 ✺
05.03.24	Zhetysu - Astana	0:2 ✺
01.03.24	Astana - Zhenis	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.24	Spartak Moscow - Astana	4:0 ✺
17.02.24	Rostov - Astana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
29.10.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	1:1
04.03.23	Astana - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1
06.11.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	2:3
Kazakh Cup
14.08.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	1:7
15.07.22	Astana - Shakhter Karagandy	5:2
Kazakh Premier League
05.03.22	Astana - Shakhter Karagandy	0:0
02.07.21	Astana - Shakhter Karagandy	4:3

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