Match Info

Premier League - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Al-Abbassieh		Shabab Al-Ghazieh

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	4.8
	1.61	3.8	4.7	Watch
	1.58	3.71	4.51
				Watch
	1.47	3.85	6.28	Watch
	1.61	3.8	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.65)	3.77 ↑ (3.68)	5 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Abbassieh
57.9%

Draw
24%

Shabab Al-Ghazieh
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

24.6%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

21.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Abbassieh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Shabab Al-Ghazieh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Abbassieh than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Abbassieh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ghazieh than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shabab Al-Ghazieh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Abbassieh - Shabab Al Ghazieh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Abbassieh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Al-Abbassieh is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Ghazieh is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Al-Abbassieh is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Abbassieh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Al-Abbassieh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Abbassieh FC
Lebanese Premier League
01.05.25	Al-Abbassieh - Racing Beirut	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Al Sahel	5:1 ✺
19.04.25	Bourj - Al-Abbassieh	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Hekmeh - Al-Abbassieh	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Al-Abbassieh - Al-Ahed	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLTL
- Shabab Al-Ghazieh
Lebanese Premier League
30.04.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	4:0 ✺
24.04.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Bourj	1:4 ✺
18.04.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Racing Beirut	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
18.02.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	0:0

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