The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Ahli Jeddah 49.1%
Draw 24.8%
Shabab Al-Ahli 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65%
19.3%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.2%
18.7%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ahli Jeddah's form might have worsened.
Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shabab Al-Ahli's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+18.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shabab Al-Ahli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Al Ahli Jeddah - Shabab Al Ahli Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 45% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
EH -1 - Al-Ahli (3.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Al-Ahli (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 27. Majrashi A. 46. Hamidou R. 3. Ibanez 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 30. Al Johani Z. 7. Mahrez R. (C) 10. Millot E. 6. Atangana V. 13. Galeno 9. Al Buraikan F.
22. Al Meqebaali H. (G) 75. Mateus Henrique 4. Planic B. 25. Gomes I. 16. Rikelme 6. Ezatolahi S. 18. Al Mansouri M. 26. Khamis S. (C) 88. Maksimovic N. 11. Al Ghassani Y. 79. Joao Marcelo
Substitutes
29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 72. Al Jadany S. (G) 14. Al Muwallad E. 22. Bakhashwin Ali Ahmed 32. Dams M. 79. Kessie F. 77. Ricardo Mathias 5. Sulaiman M. 17. Toney I.
3. Boualam Y. 80. Breno 14. Garcia D. 28. Gonzalez Baquero S. 77. Guilherme 15. Kaiky 31. Kauan Santos 55. Maqdami R. (G) 1. Waleed R.
Coaches
Jaissle M.
Sousa P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Al Buraikan F. ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Planic B. (Own goal),
45+3', 3 - 0, Millot E. ⚽, Al Hawsawi Z. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Galeno ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
46', Khamis S. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
46', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
46', Ibanez ↓, Dams M. ↑,
52', 4 - 0, Abu Al Shamat S. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Mahrez R. ↓, Ricardo Mathias ↑,
61', Joao Marcelo ↓, Kauan Santos ↑,
61', Al Ghassani Y. ↓, Breno ↑,
66', 4 - 1, Breno ⚽, Maksimovic N. (A),
70', Atangana V. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
74', Rikelme ↓, Gonzalez Baquero S. ↑,
78', 4 - 2, Breno ⚽,
79', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
90', Al Muwallad E. 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 3, Al Mansouri M. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Al-Ahli is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Shabab Al-Ahli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Al-Ahli is considered a favorite.
We predict that Al-Ahli will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ahli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Including home match between the teams, Al-Ahli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Ahli Jeddah - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.99%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Asia
Australia
Bulgaria
China
Finland
Germany
Hong-kong
India
Indonesia
Japan
Macao
Malaysia
Netherlands
Pakistan
Russia
South-korea
Vietnam
World
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Al Sanbi A. (G) 
Ibanez 
Mahrez R. (C) 
Millot E. 
Al Meqebaali H. (G) 
Planic B. 
Ezatolahi S. 
Dams M. 
Kessie F. 
Toney I. 
Boualam Y. 
Garcia D. 
Gonzalez Baquero S. 
Jaissle M. 
Sousa P. 
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