The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Ahli Jeddah 45.7%
Draw 27.2%
Al-Qadisiya 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
26.4%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
25%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Al Ahli Jeddah - Al Qadisiya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Mendy E. (G) 27. Majrashi A. 28. Demiral M. 3. Ibanez 32. Dams M. 6. Atangana V. 7. Mahrez R. 79. Kessie F. 20. Matheus Goncalves 13. Galeno 17. Toney I.
1. Casteels K. (G) 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 6. Fernandez N. 17. Alvarez G. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 5. Weigl J. 33. Quinones J. 8. Nandez N. 25. Otavio 22. Bonsu Baah C. 32. Retegui M.
Substitutes
62. Abdo A. (G) 29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 9. Al Buraikan F. 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 88. Al Khaibari A. I. 14. Al Muwallad E. 19. Al Rashidi F. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 95. Fallatah A. 60. Madani Y. 5. Sulaiman M.
7. Al Ammar T. 10. Al Juwayr M. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 15. Al Qahtani H. 9. Al Salem A. 71. Al Thani M. 20. Gabriel Carvalho 86. Hazazi K. 87. Lajami Q. 40. Mahnashi I. 50. Sunyur M. (G) 4. Thakri J.
Coaches
Jaissle M.
Gonzalez J. M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Retegui M. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Quinones J. ⚽, Otavio (A),
36', 1 - 2, Toney I. (Pen),
45+4', 1 - 3, Retegui M. (Pen),
45+6', Casteels K. 🟨,
45+7', Ibanez 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Otavio ↓, Al Juwayr M. ↑,
58', Galeno ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
61', 2 - 3, Atangana V. ⚽, Kessie F. (A),
70', Alvarez G. ↓, Thakri J. ↑,
73', 3 - 3, Kessie F. ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
78', Atangana V. 🟨,
82', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
82', Abu Al Shamat M. ↓, Hazazi A. A. ↑,
90+2', Mendy E. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
99', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
99', Majrashi A. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
99', Quinones J. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
99', Al Shahrani Y. ↓, Mahnashi I. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Retegui M. (Pen),
1, Toney I. (Pen),
2, Al Salem A. (Pen),
2, Mahrez R. (Pen),
3, Weigl J. (Pen),
3, Kessie F. (Pen),
4, Al Juwayr M. (Pen),
4, Abu Al Shamat S. (Pen),
5, Fernandez N. (Pen),
5, Al Buraikan F. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 4.
Al-Ahli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Al-Qadisiya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Al-Qadisiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Al-Ahli could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).