Match Info

WORLD: FIFA CLUB WORLD CUP - 3RD PLACE

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Ibn Batouta (Tanger)

Referee: Ghorbal M. (Alg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Action
Italy	Sky Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV


	Al Ahly Cairo		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.8	1.73
	4.4	4.1	1.71
	5	4.1	1.6
	4.4	4.06	1.78
	4.33	4.05	1.73
	4.3	3.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↓ (6)	4.01 ↓ (4.25)	1.72 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Ahly Cairo
21.1%

Draw
23.6%

Flamengo
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

22.5%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

23.4%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Ahly Cairo's performance.

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flamengo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Ahly Cairo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	8.3%	66.7%

Al Ahly Cairo - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Flamengo will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Al Ahly Cairo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Flamengo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al Ahly Cairo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Flamengo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Ahly Cairo
FIFA Club World Cup
08.02.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Real Madrid	1:4 ✺
04.02.23	Seattle Sounders - Al Ahly Cairo	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Auckland City	3:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
24.01.23	Al Ahly Cairo - National Bank of Egypt	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Zamalek - Al Ahly Cairo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW
- Flamengo RJ
FIFA Club World Cup
07.02.23	Flamengo - Al-Hilal	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.02.23	Flamengo - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Supercopa do Brasil
28.01.23	Palmeiras - Flamengo	4:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
24.01.23	Bangu - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Flamengo - Nova Iguaçu	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLTW

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