Match Info

LEBANON: PREMIER LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli		Tripoli

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.34	3.3	2.93
	2.36	3.05	2.88	Watch
	2.32	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.64)	3.11 ↑ (2.89)	2.88 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli
39.1%

Draw
29.3%

Tripoli
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.3%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

32.8%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Tripoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tripoli than the current prediction. (+1%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Akhaa won 1.

Al-Akhaa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tripoli in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Al-Akhaa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Akhaa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli Aley
Lebanese Premier League
04.02.23	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	3:1 ✺
27.01.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Hekmeh	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Tadamon Sour - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Salam Zgharta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Tripoli SC
Lebanese Premier League
04.02.23	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	3:1 ✺
27.01.23	Hekmeh - Tripoli	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Tripoli - Tadamon Sour	3:2 ✺
15.01.23	Tripoli - Salam Zgharta	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tripoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
04.02.23	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	3:1
25.11.22	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:2
30.04.22	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Tripoli	2:0
15.03.22	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:1
09.12.18	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Tripoli	1:2
09.12.17	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	3:3

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