Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 29

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Al Akhdoud Club Stadium (Najran)


	Al Akhdoud		Abha

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.75
	1.63	4.1	4.6
	1.75	3.75	4.2
	1.63	4.25	5.5
	1.63	4.09	5.04
	1.8	3.5	3.5
	1.62	4.05	4.68
	1.65	3.9	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.71)	3.98 ↑ (3.9)	4.61 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Akhdoud
56.2%

Draw
23.5%

Abha
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

23.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

25.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Abha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Al Akhdoud - Abha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitor P. (G) 27. Khamis A. 4. Al Rubaie S. 3. Burca A. 20. Al Mansour H. 29. Al Zubaidi Y. 11. Collado A. 77. Al Habib H. 18. Pedroza J. 99. Saviour G. 9. Tawamba L.	16. Tatarusanu C. (G) 14. Jumayah F. 30. Al Sahafi Z. 18. Noguera F. 15. Al Zubaidi I. 77. Al Mutairi M. 10. Bguir S. 8. Matic U. 11. Kamano F. 9. Al Ali H. 5. Krychowiak G.
Substitutes
7. Al Harthi S. 12. Al Hatila A. 21. Al Jahif M. 30. Al Saleh S. (G) 13. Al Shaikh M. 15. Asiri N. 24. Khodari M. 5. Kvirkvelia S. 10. Tanase F.	71. Abdu A. 13. Al Kunaydiri M. 29. Al Qahtani M. 17. Al Qumayzi S. 88. Al Salouli S. 1. Al Shammari A. (G) 80. Al Shammeri A. 19. Djordjevic L. 3. Naji M.
Coaches
Zekri N.	Mosimane P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Burca A. ↓, Kvirkvelia S. ↑,
31', Pedroza J. 🟨,
37', Jumayah F. ↓, Al Qumayzi S. ↑,
40', 1 - 0, Kvirkvelia S. ⚽, Collado A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Al Mutairi M. ↓, Al Salouli S. ↑,
46', Kamano F. ↓, Al Shammeri A. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Al Zubaidi Y. ⚽, Vitor P. (A),
50', Al Zubaidi I. 🟨,
53', Kvirkvelia S. 🟨,
56', Al Rubaie S. 🟨,
61', Bguir S. (Pen),
74', 3 - 0, Pedroza J. ⚽, Saviour G. (A),
85', Al Ali H. ↓, Djordjevic L. ↑,
88', Al Zubaidi Y. ↓, Al Harthi S. ↑,
89', Pedroza J. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
89', Khamis A. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 0, Al Hatila A. ⚽, Collado A. (A),

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Al Akhdoud has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Abha is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Abha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al Akhdoud is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
20.04.24	Al Akhdoud - Damac	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Al-Feiha - Al Akhdoud	3:0 ✺
02.04.24	Al-Hilal - Al Akhdoud	3:0 ✺
29.03.24	Al Akhdoud - Al Raed	1:3 ✺
14.03.24	Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT
- Abha FC
Saudi Professional League
18.04.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Abha	5:0 ✺
07.04.24	Abha - Al Fateh	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Abha - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:8 ✺
30.03.24	Al-Riyadh - Abha	1:1 ✺
14.03.24	Abha - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
04.11.23	Abha - Al Akhdoud	3:2

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