Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Al Duhail		Shabab Al-Ahli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	3.55	2.35
	2.15	3.66	2.89	Watch
	2.84	3.97	2.23	Watch
	2.52	3.63	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.15)	3.7 ↑ (3.66)	2.5 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Duhail
36.9%

Draw
25.4%

Shabab Al-Ahli
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

25.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Duhail's form might have worsened.

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shabab Al-Ahli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Duhail, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shabab Al-Ahli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Al Duhail - Shabab Al Ahli Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al Duhail will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Shabab Al-Ahli (1.77) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Al Duhail (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Duhail (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Burke B. (G) 17. Sabaly Y. 21. Castelletto J. 4. Aymen Y. 24. Al Amin H. 12. Boudiaf K. (C) 6. Verratti M. 8. Edmilson Junior 10. Luis Alberto 77. Boulbina A. 9. Piatek K.	22. Al Meqebaali H. (G) 75. Mateus Henrique 4. Planic B. 13. Renan 31. Kauan Santos 10. Cartabia F. (C) 6. Ezatolahi S. 57. Yuri Cesar 77. Guilherme 80. Breno 21. Adil S.
Substitutes
20. Al Ahrak A. 14. Al Minhali G. 22. Bamba I. 19. Bourigeaud B. 25. Hamza M. 96. Hassan A. (G) 81. Jamshid T. 15. Luiz Ceara 7. Mohammed I. 38. Sarour J. (G)	99. Adyson 26. Al Nuaimi E. 8. Alvarez G. 9. Dabbur M. 14. Garcia D. 25. Gomes I. 28. Gonzalez Baquero S. 12. Hamza H. (G) 15. Kaiky 19. Mateusao 23. Seifi M. 70. Thiago
Coaches
Belmadi D.	Sousa P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Edmilson Junior ⚽, Luis Alberto (A),
17', Ezatolahi S. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Bourigeaud B. ⚽, Edmilson Junior (A),
42', 2 - 1, Breno ⚽, Cartabia F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Adil S. ↓, Mateusao ↑,
57', 3 - 1, Boulbina A. ⚽, Bourigeaud B. (A),
67', Breno ↓, Dabbur M. ↑,
67', Yuri Cesar ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
68', Piatek K. (Pen),
68', Cartabia F. 🟨,
83', Sabaly Y. ↓, Bamba I. ↑,
87', Cartabia F. ↓, Thiago ↑,
87', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
89', Edmilson Junior ↓, Mohammed I. ↑,
90+1', Al Amin H. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 1, Luis Alberto ⚽,
90+3', Bamba I. 🟨,
90+6', Bourigeaud B. ↓, Luiz Ceara ↑,
90+6', Luis Alberto ↓, Al Ahrak A. ↑,
90+6', Boulbina A. ↓, Jamshid T. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Al Duhail is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shabab Al-Ahli is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shabab Al-Ahli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Al Duhail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Duhail
Qatar QSL
30.10.25	Al-Gharafa - Al Duhail	3:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
28.10.25	Al Duhail - Al-Rayyan	1:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
25.10.25	Al Duhail - Al-Shamal	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
20.10.25	Al-Wahda - Al Duhail	3:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
02.10.25	Al Duhail - Al-Kharitiyath	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
UAE Football League
30.10.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Sharjah	2:0 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
25.10.25	Al Bataeh - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:1 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League
21.10.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Nasaf Qarshi	4:1 ✺
UAE Football League
17.10.25	Ittihad Kalba - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
24.04.13	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Duhail	3:1
26.02.13	Al Duhail - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:1

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