Match Info

Date: 14 January 2021, Thursday


	Al-Faisaly		Al Qadsia

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	1.9	3.5	3.4
	1.92	3.45	3.45
	1.93	3.73	3.78
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.89	3.6	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.21)	3.51 ↑ (3.45)	3.54 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Faisaly
48%

Draw
26.1%

Al Qadsia
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

19.2%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Faisaly's performance.

Al Qadsia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Qadsia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Faisaly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Qadsia than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Qadsia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Faisaly - Al Qadsia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

Al-Faisaly is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Qadsia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Faisaly could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Al-Faisaly will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Al-Faisaly won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Faisaly won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Professional League
07.01.21	Abha - Al-Faisaly	1:0 ✺
31.12.20	Al-Faisaly - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:3 ✺
27.12.20	Al Fateh - Al-Faisaly	3:2 ✺
22.12.20	Al-Faisaly - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:3 ✺
Saudi King Cup
17.12.20	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Faisaly	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW
- Al Qadsia Kuwait
Kuwaiti Crown Prince Cup
12.01.21	Al Kuwait - Al Qadsia	2:1 ET ✺
Saudi Professional League
08.01.21	Al Qadsia - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:1 ✺
Kuwaiti Crown Prince Cup
08.01.21	Al Qadsia - Al Tadamun	2:0 ✺
04.01.21	Al-Arabi Doha - Al Qadsia	0:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
02.01.21	Al Raed - Al Qadsia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
14.03.19	Al-Faisaly - Al Qadsia	3:0
30.11.18	Al Qadsia - Al-Faisaly	1:1
13.01.18	Al-Faisaly - Al Qadsia	2:0
23.09.17	Al Qadsia - Al-Faisaly	1:1
29.12.16	Al-Faisaly - Al Qadsia	3:2
19.08.16	Al Qadsia - Al-Faisaly	1:1
28.01.16	Al-Faisaly - Al Qadsia	1:0

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