Match Info
Stars League - Round 29Date: 18 April 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Iraq | Iraqia Kurdish, Iraqia Syriac |
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Diyala |
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Al-Naft |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.62 |
2.78 |
2.72 |
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 |
2.63 |
2.67 |
2.7 |
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2.71 |
2.76 |
2.76 |
 Watch |
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2.63 |
2.6 |
2.75 |
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2.67 |
2.71 |
2.72 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.24) |
2.7 ↓
(2.92) |
2.73 ↓
(3.19) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Diyala
33.9% | Draw
33.2% | Al-Naft
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diyala's form might have worsened.Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diyala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Naft, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Diyala - Al Naft Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Abd A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 88', Salim K. 🟥,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).Diyala is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Al-Naft's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). Diyala might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Al Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
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| 10 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Iraqi Premier League | | | 09.01.26 | Al-Naft - Diyala | 2:1 | | 10.04.25 | Al-Naft - Diyala | 2:0 | | 01.12.24 | Diyala - Al-Naft | 0:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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