Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Kingdom Arena (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
China	iQIYI
Finland	Veikkaus TV
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Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Al-Hilal		Al-Wahda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.6	5.5	Watch
	1.48	4.55	5.3
	1.49	4.85	5.55
	1.51	4.71	5.31	Watch
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.52	4.71	5.73	Watch
	1.47	4.75	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.23)	4.67 ↓ (6.05)	5.45 ↓ (10.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Hilal
62.9%

Draw
20%

Al-Wahda
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.6%

15.4%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Hilal's form might have worsened.

Al-Wahda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Wahda's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Al Hilal - Al Wahda Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Al-Wahda will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +2.75 - Al-Wahda (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Hilal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 4 - 80%). Al-Wahda (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 78. Lajami A. 30. Mari P. 4. Akcicek Y. 14. Darisi A. 8. Neves R. (C) 18. Al Hawsawi M. 24. Al Harbi M. 75. Meite M. 70. Bouabre S. 7. Nunez D.	36. Ahmed Z. (G) 32. Guga 30. Ogbu F. I. 31. Ivkovic S. 60. Abaelaziz B. 12. Hamad A. 25. Jadsom 94. Diarra B. 7. Caio Canedo 11. Kruspzky F. 70. Khribin O. M. (C)
Substitutes
40. Abu Rasen A. (G) 16. Al Dawsari N. 29. Al Dawsari S. 31. Al-Ghamdi R. 44. Al Mutairi S. 88. Al Yami H. 32. Al Zaid A. 3. Koulibaly K. 23. Mandash S. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 25. Patouillet M. (G)	80. Abdullah A. 8. Al Balushi A. 68. Ali M. 1. Al Shamsi M. (G) 26. Ammar H. (G) 2. Burghash M. 15. Dehghan M. 22. Folha B. 6. Ghorbani M. 38. Pradas A. 13. Shebab H. 27. Trayi L.
Coaches
Inzaghi S.	Milanic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Mari P. 🟨,
13', Darisi A. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Nunez D. ⚽, Neves R. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Diarra B. ⚽, Khribin O. M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Bouabre S. 🟨,
61', Darisi A. ↓, Al Yami H. ↑,
61', Al Hawsawi M. ↓, Milinkovic-Savic S. ↑,
61', Mari P. ↓, Mandash S. ↑,
70', Al Harbi M. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
71', Caio Canedo ↓, Abdullah A. ↑,
74', Ogbu F. I. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Nunez D. ⚽, Mandash S. (A),
79', Meite M. ↓, Al Dawsari S. ↑,
79', Khribin O. M. ↓, Folha B. ↑,
87', Jadsom ↓, Dehghan M. ↑,
87', Diarra B. ↓, Pradas A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Al-Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Al-Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Al-Hilal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Al-Wahda has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al-Wahda has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al-Hilal is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Hilal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Hilal - the odds 1.23 are the expected chance of winning is 75.64%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
13.02.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
09.02.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Hilal	0:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
05.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal	0:6 ✺
02.02.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:0 ✺
29.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WTWTT
- Al-Wahda FC
AFC Champions League
09.02.26	Al-Wahda - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:0 ✺
UAE Football League
05.02.26	Al-Wahda - Al Bataeh	2:2 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
01.02.26	Al-Wahda - United FC	2:4 ET ✺
UAE Football League
27.01.26	Al-Wahda - Dibba Al Fujairah	1:0 ✺
Super Cup UAE Qatar
23.01.26	Al-Wahda - Al Duhail	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
10.04.17	Al-Hilal - Al-Wahda	1:0
14.03.17	Al-Wahda - Al-Hilal	2:2

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