Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Al Rashid Stadium (Dubai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
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Indonesia	RCTI
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
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Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Ukraine	Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Shabab Al-Ahli		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.55	2.08
	3.24	3.7	2.16
	2.58	3.15	2.70	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.05
	3.36	3.67	2.1
	3.25	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (5.73)	3.51 ↓ (4.63)	2.2 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al-Ahli
30.4%

Draw
26.8%

Al-Hilal
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

20.1%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

22.3%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shabab Al-Ahli's performance.

Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Hilal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shabab Al-Ahli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+27.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Hilal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	33.3%	41.7%

Shabab Al Ahli - Al Hilal Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Al-Hilal will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Al-Hilal (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Shabab Al-Ahli (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Al-Hilal (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Al Meqebaali H. (G) 31. Kauan Santos 4. Planic B. 13. Renan (C) 75. Mateus Henrique 6. Ezatolahi S. 18. Al Mansouri M. 26. Khamis S. 88. Maksimovic N. 77. Guilherme 79. Joao Marcelo	25. Patouillet M. (G) 30. Mari P. 87. Tambakti H. 4. Akcicek Y. 70. Bouabre S. 18. Al Hawsawi M. 28. Kanno M. (C) 19. Hernandez T. 14. Darisi A. 23. Mandash S. 7. Nunez D.
Substitutes
21. Adil S. 11. Al Ghassani Y. 3. Boualam Y. 80. Breno 20. Draichi H. 14. Garcia D. 28. Gonzalez Baquero S. 58. Irala E. 15. Kaiky 16. Rikelme 23. Seifi M. 1. Waleed R.	40. Abu Rasen A. (G) 16. Al Dawsari N. 31. Al-Ghamdi R. 44. Al Mutairi S. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 88. Al Yami H. 32. Al Zaid A. 78. Lajami A. 10. Malcom 75. Meite M. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 8. Neves R.
Coaches
Sousa P.	Inzaghi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Nunez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Renan ↓, Kaiky ↑,
61', Darisi A. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
61', Mandash S. ↓, Malcom ↑,
69', Khamis S. ↓, Breno ↑,
69', Joao Marcelo ↓, Adil S. ↑,
78', Akcicek Y. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
78', Bouabre S. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
83', Al Mansouri M. ↓, Al Ghassani Y. ↑,
83', Kauan Santos ↓, Rikelme ↑,
83', Al Hawsawi M. ↓, Neves R. ↑,
90+4', Al Dawsari N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Al-Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Shabab Al-Ahli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Hilal is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shabab Al-Ahli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
UAE Football League
05.02.26	Al-Sharjah - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:4 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
01.02.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Khor Fakkan	3:1 ✺
UAE Football League
28.01.26	Ajman Club - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:1 ✺
Super Cup UAE Qatar
24.01.26	Al-Sadd - Shabab Al-Ahli	3:2 ✺
UAE Football League
19.01.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Dibba Al Fujairah	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
05.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal	0:6 ✺
02.02.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:0 ✺
29.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Feiha	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
20.02.23	Al-Hilal - Shabab Al-Ahli	3:1
30.04.21	Al-Hilal - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:2
18.04.21	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Hilal	0:2
23.09.20	Al-Hilal - Shabab Al-Ahli	Canceled
17.02.20	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Hilal	1:2
17.04.12	Al-Hilal - Shabab Al-Ahli	N/A

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