Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Kingdom Arena (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Philippines	Matchday+
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Al-Hilal		Pakhtakor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.11	9.75	19.5	Watch
	1.19	6.8	13	Watch
	1.18	8.37	16.57
	1.15	7.66	15.38
	1.18	7	13
	1.18	7.4	13.7	Watch
	1.19	6.8	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.1)	7.68 ↓ (8.8)	14.88 ↓ (25.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Hilal
81.3%

Draw
12.4%

Pakhtakor
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.7%

10.7%

3.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Al Hilal - Pakhtakor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Pakhtakor will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 76.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Bono (G) 88. Al Yami H. 87. Tambakti H. 3. Koulibaly K. 24. Al Harbi M. 8. Neves R. 28. Kanno M. 27. Kaio Cesar 77. Malcom 29. Al Dawsari S. (C) 11. Marcos Leonardo	19. Jhonatan (G) 7. Alizhonov K. 4. Abdullaev A. (C) 3. Azmiddinov S. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 47. Jonatan Lucca 23. Buriev A. 17. Khamdamov D. 8. Kholmatov D. 50. Flamarion 94. Riascos B.
Substitutes
4. Al Dawsari K. 16. Al Dawsari N. 38. Al Ghamil T. M. 7. Al Ghannam K. 99. Al Hamdan A. 21. Al Owais M. (G) 15. Al Qahtani M. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 6. Lodi R.	55. Abdumazhidov M. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 30. Jurakuziev O. 5. Khamraliev M. 99. Khoshimov U. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 15. Ortikboev D. 45. Resan B. 77. Saitov D. 37. Sergeev I. 1. Shevchenko N. (G) 6. Urinboev M.
Coaches
Jesus J.	Moreira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Al Yami H. ⚽, Kanno M. (A),
36', Khamdamov D. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Malcom ⚽, Kanno M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Riascos B. ↓, Sergeev I. ↑,
46', Khamdamov D. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Al Dawsari S. (Pen),
59', Al Harbi M. 🟨,
67', Kholmatov D. ↓, Ibrokhimov I. ↑,
73', Al Harbi M. ↓, Lodi R. ↑,
73', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
81', Koulibaly K. ↓, Al Dawsari K. ↑,
86', Flamarion ↓, Jurakuziev O. ↑,
86', Adkhamzoda U. ↓, Saitov D. ↑,
88', Al Ghannam K. 🟨,
89', Malcom ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
89', Kaio Cesar ↓, Al Ghannam K. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 0, Al Dawsari N. ⚽, Al Hamdan A. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Al-Hilal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pakhtakor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Hilal is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Hilal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
07.03.25	Al-Feiha - Al-Hilal	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.03.25	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	1:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
28.02.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3 ✺
25.02.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Kholood	5:1 ✺
22.02.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Hilal	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL
- Pakhtakor Tashkent
AFC Champions League
04.03.25	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	1:0 ✺
17.02.25	Pakhtakor - Al-Sadd	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Al-Gharafa - Pakhtakor	1:0 ✺
03.12.24	Pakhtakor - Al Ain	1:1 ✺
Uzbek League
30.11.24	Bunyodkor - Pakhtakor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
04.03.25	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	1:0
17.09.20	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	0:0
14.09.20	Al-Hilal - Pakhtakor	2:1
02.03.16	Al-Hilal - Pakhtakor	4:1
24.02.16	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	2:2

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