Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kingdom Arena (Riyadh) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	07:00	Paramount+
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Sportklub 3
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
China	04:00	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	SportKlub 3
Hong Kong	04:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	RCTI+
Iraq	23:00	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	02:00	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	02:00	KTRK Sports
Macao	04:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	04:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Montenegro	21:00	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	21:00	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Philippines	04:00	Matchday+
Portugal	20:00	Canal 11
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	21:00	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 3
South Korea	05:00	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	21:00	LaLiga+
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Play
Turkey	23:00	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	22:00	Sport 1, Sport 3
Usa	16:00	Paramount+
Vietnam	03:00	FPT Play
International	20:00	Disney+, Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Al-Hilal		Pakhtakor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.11	9.75	19.5	Watch
	1.19	6.8	13	Watch
	1.18	8.37	16.57
	1.15	7.66	15.38
	1.18	7	13
	1.18	7.4	13.7	Watch
	1.19	6.8	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.1)	7.68 ↓ (8.8)	14.88 ↓ (25.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Hilal
81.3%

Draw
12.4%

Pakhtakor
6.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

85.7%

10.7%

3.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Al Hilal - Pakhtakor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Pakhtakor will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 76.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Bono (G) 88. Al Yami H. 87. Tambakti H. 3. Koulibaly K. 24. Al Harbi M. 8. Neves R. 28. Kanno M. 27. Kaio Cesar 77. Malcom 29. Al Dawsari S. (C) 11. Marcos Leonardo	19. Jhonatan (G) 7. Alizhonov K. 4. Abdullaev A. (C) 3. Azmiddinov S. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 47. Jonatan Lucca 23. Buriev A. 17. Khamdamov D. 8. Kholmatov D. 50. Flamarion 94. Riascos B.
Substitutes
4. Al Dawsari K. 16. Al Dawsari N. 38. Al Ghamil T. M. 7. Al Ghannam K. 99. Al Hamdan A. 21. Al Owais M. (G) 15. Al Qahtani M. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 6. Lodi R.	55. Abdumazhidov M. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 30. Jurakuziev O. 5. Khamraliev M. 99. Khoshimov U. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 15. Ortikboev D. 45. Resan B. 77. Saitov D. 37. Sergeev I. 1. Shevchenko N. (G) 6. Urinboev M.
Coaches
Jesus J.	Moreira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Al Yami H. ⚽, Kanno M. (A),
36', Khamdamov D. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Malcom ⚽, Kanno M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Riascos B. ↓, Sergeev I. ↑,
46', Khamdamov D. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Al Dawsari S. (Pen),
59', Al Harbi M. 🟨,
67', Kholmatov D. ↓, Ibrokhimov I. ↑,
73', Al Harbi M. ↓, Lodi R. ↑,
73', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
81', Koulibaly K. ↓, Al Dawsari K. ↑,
86', Flamarion ↓, Jurakuziev O. ↑,
86', Adkhamzoda U. ↓, Saitov D. ↑,
88', Al Ghannam K. 🟨,
89', Malcom ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
89', Kaio Cesar ↓, Al Ghannam K. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 0, Al Dawsari N. ⚽, Al Hamdan A. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Al-Hilal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pakhtakor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Hilal is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Hilal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
07.03.25	Al-Feiha - Al-Hilal	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.03.25	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	1:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
28.02.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3 ✺
25.02.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Kholood	5:1 ✺
22.02.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Hilal	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL
- Pakhtakor Tashkent
AFC Champions League
04.03.25	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	1:0 ✺
17.02.25	Pakhtakor - Al-Sadd	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Al-Gharafa - Pakhtakor	1:0 ✺
03.12.24	Pakhtakor - Al Ain	1:1 ✺
Uzbek League
30.11.24	Bunyodkor - Pakhtakor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
04.03.25	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	1:0
17.09.20	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	0:0
14.09.20	Al-Hilal - Pakhtakor	2:1
02.03.16	Al-Hilal - Pakhtakor	4:1
24.02.16	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	2:2

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