Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	03:00	Paramount+
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Brazil	13:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	18:00	Nova Sport
Chile	13:00	Disney+
China	00:00	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:00	Disney+
Croatia	17:00	SportKlub 1
Finland	18:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Georgia	20:00	Silk Sport 1
Hong Kong	00:00	HOY TV
India	21:30	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	23:00	K-Vision, RCTI+
Iraq	19:00	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Israel	18:00	Sport 2
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	22:00	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	22:00	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	18:00	Sport 1
Macao	00:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Arena Bola 2
Mexico	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Montenegro	17:00	SportKlub
Netherlands	17:00	Canal+, ESPN 2
North Macedonia	17:00	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Peru	11:00	Disney+
Philippines	00:00	Cignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football
Portugal	16:00	Canal 11
Russia	19:00	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	19:00	SSC Sports 1
Serbia	17:00	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	17:00	SportKlub 3
South Korea	01:00	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	17:00	LaLiga+
Sweden	17:00	TV4 Play
Turkey	19:00	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	18:00	Sport 1
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	11:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+
Vietnam	23:00	FPT Play
International	16:00	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Pakhtakor		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.2	4.6	1.35	Watch
	8.71	5.18	1.35
	8.43	5	1.34
	8	4.6	1.35
	8.7	5.1	1.35	Watch
	7.2	4.6	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.04 ↑ (5.7)	4.85 ↑ (4.57)	1.35 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pakhtakor
11.6%

Draw
19.2%

Al-Hilal
69.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.3%

20.3%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Hilal's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Pakhtakor - Al Hilal Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Hilal will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Jhonatan (G) 7. Alizhonov K. 4. Abdullaev A. (C) 3. Azmiddinov S. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 47. Lucca J. 17. Khamdamov D. 23. Buriev A. 8. Kholmatov D. 50. Flamarion 94. Riascos B.	37. Bono (G) 16. Al Dawsari N. 3. Koulibaly K. 5. Al Bulayhi A. 4. Al Dawsari K. 8. Neves R. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 27. Kaio Cesar 77. Malcom 29. Al Dawsari S. (C) 11. Marcos Leonardo
Substitutes
55. Abdumazhidov M. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 30. Jurakuziev O. 5. Khamraliev M. 99. Khoshimov U. 44. Makhamadzhonov M. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 15. Ortikboev D. 45. Resan B. 77. Saitov D. 37. Sergeyev I. 1. Shevchenko N. (G)	38. Al Ghamil T. M. 7. Al Ghannam K. 99. Al Hamdan A. 24. Al Harbi M. 21. Al Owais M. (G) 15. Al Qahtani M. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 39. Hadhood A. 28. Kanno M. 33. Muhaysh M. A.
Coaches
Moreira P.	Jesus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Flamarion ⚽, Riascos B. (A),
34', Azmiddinov S. 🟨,
39', Al Bulayhi A. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Riascos B. ↓, Sergeyev I. ↑,
61', Kaio Cesar ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
76', Milinkovic-Savic S. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
78', Abdullaev A. 🟨,
80', Khamdamov D. ↓, Jurakuziev O. ↑,
80', Kholmatov D. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
83', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
90', Adkhamzoda U. ↓, Makhamadzhonov M. ↑,
90', Flamarion ↓, Abdumazhidov M. ↑,
90+7', Makhamadzhonov M. 🟨,
90+9', Kanno M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Al-Hilal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pakhtakor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Hilal is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Pakhtakor won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pakhtakor Tashkent
AFC Champions League
17.02.25	Pakhtakor - Al-Sadd	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Al-Gharafa - Pakhtakor	1:0 ✺
03.12.24	Pakhtakor - Al Ain	1:1 ✺
Uzbek League
30.11.24	Bunyodkor - Pakhtakor	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.24	Esteghlal - Pakhtakor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTLT
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
28.02.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3 ✺
25.02.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Kholood	5:1 ✺
22.02.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Hilal	4:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.02.25	Al Wasl - Al-Hilal	0:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
14.02.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Riyadh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
17.09.20	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	0:0
14.09.20	Al-Hilal - Pakhtakor	2:1
02.03.16	Al-Hilal - Pakhtakor	4:1
24.02.16	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	2:2

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