Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	Sport 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Montenegro	SportKlub
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	SSC Sports 1
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Pakhtakor		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.2	4.6	1.35	Watch
	8.71	5.18	1.35
	8.43	5	1.34
	8	4.6	1.35
	8.7	5.1	1.35	Watch
	7.2	4.6	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.04 ↑ (5.7)	4.85 ↑ (4.57)	1.35 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pakhtakor
11.6%

Draw
19.2%

Al-Hilal
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

20.3%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Hilal's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Pakhtakor - Al Hilal Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Hilal will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Jhonatan (G) 7. Alizhonov K. 4. Abdullaev A. (C) 3. Azmiddinov S. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 47. Lucca J. 17. Khamdamov D. 23. Buriev A. 8. Kholmatov D. 50. Flamarion 94. Riascos B.	37. Bono (G) 16. Al Dawsari N. 3. Koulibaly K. 5. Al Bulayhi A. 4. Al Dawsari K. 8. Neves R. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 27. Kaio Cesar 77. Malcom 29. Al Dawsari S. (C) 11. Marcos Leonardo
Substitutes
55. Abdumazhidov M. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 30. Jurakuziev O. 5. Khamraliev M. 99. Khoshimov U. 44. Makhamadzhonov M. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 15. Ortikboev D. 45. Resan B. 77. Saitov D. 37. Sergeyev I. 1. Shevchenko N. (G)	38. Al Ghamil T. M. 7. Al Ghannam K. 99. Al Hamdan A. 24. Al Harbi M. 21. Al Owais M. (G) 15. Al Qahtani M. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 39. Hadhood A. 28. Kanno M. 33. Muhaysh M. A.
Coaches
Moreira P.	Jesus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Flamarion ⚽, Riascos B. (A),
34', Azmiddinov S. 🟨,
39', Al Bulayhi A. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Riascos B. ↓, Sergeyev I. ↑,
61', Kaio Cesar ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
76', Milinkovic-Savic S. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
78', Abdullaev A. 🟨,
80', Khamdamov D. ↓, Jurakuziev O. ↑,
80', Kholmatov D. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
83', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
90', Adkhamzoda U. ↓, Makhamadzhonov M. ↑,
90', Flamarion ↓, Abdumazhidov M. ↑,
90+7', Makhamadzhonov M. 🟨,
90+9', Kanno M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Al-Hilal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pakhtakor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Hilal is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Pakhtakor won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pakhtakor Tashkent
AFC Champions League
17.02.25	Pakhtakor - Al-Sadd	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Al-Gharafa - Pakhtakor	1:0 ✺
03.12.24	Pakhtakor - Al Ain	1:1 ✺
Uzbek League
30.11.24	Bunyodkor - Pakhtakor	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.24	Esteghlal - Pakhtakor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTLT
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
28.02.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3 ✺
25.02.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Kholood	5:1 ✺
22.02.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Hilal	4:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.02.25	Al Wasl - Al-Hilal	0:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
14.02.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Riyadh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
17.09.20	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	0:0
14.09.20	Al-Hilal - Pakhtakor	2:1
02.03.16	Al-Hilal - Pakhtakor	4:1
24.02.16	Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal	2:2

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