Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 8

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday

Location: JAR Stadium (Tashkent)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Philippines	Matchday+
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Pakhtakor		Al-Sadd

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.98	3.78	3.55
				Watch
	2	3.5	3.4
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (3.35)	3.64 ↑ (3.45)	3.48 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pakhtakor
47.2%

Draw
25.8%

Al-Sadd
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

26.6%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pakhtakor's performance.

Al-Sadd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Sadd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Pakhtakor - Al Sadd Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pakhtakor will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Al-Sadd will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Jhonatan (G) 3. Azmiddinov S. 7. Alizhonov K. 4. Abdullaev A. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 47. Lucca J. 8. Kholmatov D. 17. Khamdamov D. 50. Flamarion 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. (C) 94. Riascos B.	1. Al Sheeb S. (G) 77. Atal Y. 16. Khoukhi B. 81. Bounacer A. 13. Al Yazidi A. 18. Guilherme 96. Ounas A. 17. Cristo 10. Al Haydos H. (C) 8. Baqer A. 21. Giovani
Substitutes
55. Abdumazhidov M. 23. Buriev A. 99. Hoshimov U. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 30. Jurakuziev O. 5. Khamraliev M. 44. Makhamadzhonov M. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 15. Ortikboev D. 45. Resan B. 37. Sergeyev I. 1. Shevchenko N. (G)	9. Abdurisag Y. 23. Ali H. 31. Baliadeh Y. (G) 22. Barsham M. (G) 70. Khoder M. 14. Meshaal M. 19. Mujica R. 2. Pedro Miguel 29. Saiss R. 3. Sayyar A. 37. Suhail A.
Coaches
Moreira P.	Sanchez Bas F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Riascos B. ⚽, Flamarion (A),
32', Guilherme ↓, Sayyar A. ↑,
37', 1 - 1, Al Haydos H. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Sobirkhuzhaev S. 🟨,
55', Bounacer A. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Riascos B. ⚽,
65', Ounas A. 🟥,
68', Sobirkhuzhaev S. 🟥,
72', Abdurisag Y. ↓, Mujica R. ↑,
73', Riascos B. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
80', Kholmatov D. ↓, Buriev A. ↑,
80', Khamdamov D. ↓, Hoshimov U. ↑,
80', Atal Y. ↓, Khoder M. ↑,
80', Al Yazidi A. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
88', Flamarion ↓, Jurakuziev O. ↑,
90+9', Azmiddinov S. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Al-Sadd is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent matches Al-Sadd is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Sadd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Pakhtakor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pakhtakor Tashkent
AFC Champions League
04.02.25	Al-Gharafa - Pakhtakor	1:0 ✺
03.12.24	Pakhtakor - Al Ain	1:1 ✺
Uzbek League
30.11.24	Bunyodkor - Pakhtakor	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.24	Esteghlal - Pakhtakor	0:0 ✺
Uzbek League
21.11.24	Pakhtakor - AGMK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLTL
- Al-Sadd SC
Qatar QSL
07.02.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Sadd	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.02.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
30.01.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Sadd	1:3 ✺
23.01.25	Al-Sadd - Qatar SC	0:1 ✺
Super Cup UAE Qatar
18.01.25	Al-Sadd - Al Wasl	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
22.04.19	Al-Sadd - Pakhtakor	2:1
09.04.19	Pakhtakor - Al-Sadd	2:2

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