Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 7

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	03:00	Paramount+
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	18:00	Nova Sport
China	00:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	17:00	SportKlub 3
Finland	18:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	20:00	Silk Sport 1
Hong Kong	00:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	21:30	FanCode, FanCode, Star Sports Select 1, Vision+
Indonesia	23:00	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Iraq	19:00	Almanasa, Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	22:00	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	22:00	KTRK Sports
Macao	00:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Montenegro	17:00	Sportklub 3
North Macedonia	17:00	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Philippines	00:00	Cignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football
Portugal	16:00	Canal 11
Romania	18:00	AntenaPLAY
Russia	19:00	Okko Sport, TV Start
Saudi Arabia	19:00	SSC Sports Extra 1
Serbia	17:00	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	17:00	SportKlub 4
South Korea	01:00	Tving
Spain	17:00	LaLiga+
Sweden	17:00	TV4 Play
Turkey	19:00	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	18:00	Sport 1, Sport 3
United Arab Emirates	20:00	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Usa	11:00	Paramount+
Vietnam	23:00	FPT Play
International	16:00	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Al-Gharafa		Pakhtakor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.7	3.3	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.06	3.77	3.57
	1.94	3.79	3.51	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.4
	1.95	3.83	3.58	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.96)	3.64 ↑ (3.28)	3.42 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
47.1%

Draw
25.6%

Pakhtakor
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

28.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	17.6%	23.5%

Al Gharafa - Pakhtakor Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Pakhtakor will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Gharafa: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Rico S. (G) 2. Yousif A. 32. Nani M. 42. Sano S. 99. Hamed J. 31. Sassi F. (C) 29. Diaz F. 24. Gunnarsson A. 80. Al Ganehi A. 8. Brahimi Y. 9. Joselu	19. Jhonatan (G) 5. Khamraliev M. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 4. Abdullaev A. (C) 17. Khamdamov D. 47. Lucca J. 45. Resan B. 23. Buriev A. 37. Sergeyev I. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 50. Flamarion
Substitutes
71. Al Zarra J. 11. Boli Y. 26. Boussafi R. 21. Fadlalla S. 44. Hamed Y. 12. Ismaeil H. 40. Lecomte C. A. (G) 23. Madibo A. O. 3. Muntari M. 18. N'Diaye K. (G) 17. Surag A. 25. Tamer I.	3. Azmiddinov S. 99. Hoshimov U. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 30. Jurakuziev O. 8. Kholmatov D. 44. Makhamadzhonov M. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 15. Ortikboev D. 94. Riascos B. 77. Saitov D. 1. Shevchenko N. (G) 31. Usmonov M.
Coaches
Martins P.	Moreira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Sano S. 🟨,
24', Resan B. 🟨,
28', Sassi F. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Sassi F. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Joselu 🟨,
68', Sergeyev I. ↓, Riascos B. ↑,
68', Resan B. ↓, Jurakuziev O. ↑,
69', Buriev A. ↓, Kholmatov D. ↑,
74', Nani M. 🟨,
80', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Boli Y. ↑,
85', Khamdamov D. ↓, Hoshimov U. ↑,
90+2', Diaz F. 🟨,
90+3', Joselu ↓, Muntari M. ↑,
90+3', Brahimi Y. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 10 and 9).

Pakhtakor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Gharafa is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Al-Gharafa to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al-Gharafa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Gharafa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
29.01.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa	2:2 ✺
22.01.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Ahli Doha	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa	2:4 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.12.24	Al-Hilal - Al-Gharafa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWWL
- Pakhtakor Tashkent
AFC Champions League
03.12.24	Pakhtakor - Al Ain	1:1 ✺
Uzbek League
30.11.24	Bunyodkor - Pakhtakor	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.24	Esteghlal - Pakhtakor	0:0 ✺
Uzbek League
21.11.24	Pakhtakor - AGMK	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
30.01.18	Al-Gharafa - Pakhtakor	2:1

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