Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 7

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Star Sports Select 1, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Iraq	Almanasa, Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Philippines	Cignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start
Saudi-arabia	SSC Sports Extra 1
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Al-Gharafa		Pakhtakor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.7	3.3	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.06	3.77	3.57
	1.94	3.79	3.51	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.4
	1.95	3.83	3.58	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.96)	3.64 ↑ (3.28)	3.42 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
47.1%

Draw
25.6%

Pakhtakor
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

28.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	17.6%	23.5%

Al Gharafa - Pakhtakor Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Pakhtakor will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Gharafa: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Rico S. (G) 2. Yousif A. 32. Nani M. 42. Sano S. 99. Hamed J. 31. Sassi F. (C) 29. Diaz F. 24. Gunnarsson A. 80. Al Ganehi A. 8. Brahimi Y. 9. Joselu	19. Jhonatan (G) 5. Khamraliev M. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 4. Abdullaev A. (C) 17. Khamdamov D. 47. Lucca J. 45. Resan B. 23. Buriev A. 37. Sergeyev I. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 50. Flamarion
Substitutes
71. Al Zarra J. 11. Boli Y. 26. Boussafi R. 21. Fadlalla S. 44. Hamed Y. 12. Ismaeil H. 40. Lecomte C. A. (G) 23. Madibo A. O. 3. Muntari M. 18. N'Diaye K. (G) 17. Surag A. 25. Tamer I.	3. Azmiddinov S. 99. Hoshimov U. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 30. Jurakuziev O. 8. Kholmatov D. 44. Makhamadzhonov M. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 15. Ortikboev D. 94. Riascos B. 77. Saitov D. 1. Shevchenko N. (G) 31. Usmonov M.
Coaches
Martins P.	Moreira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Sano S. 🟨,
24', Resan B. 🟨,
28', Sassi F. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Sassi F. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Joselu 🟨,
68', Sergeyev I. ↓, Riascos B. ↑,
68', Resan B. ↓, Jurakuziev O. ↑,
69', Buriev A. ↓, Kholmatov D. ↑,
74', Nani M. 🟨,
80', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Boli Y. ↑,
85', Khamdamov D. ↓, Hoshimov U. ↑,
90+2', Diaz F. 🟨,
90+3', Joselu ↓, Muntari M. ↑,
90+3', Brahimi Y. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 10 and 9).

Pakhtakor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Gharafa is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Al-Gharafa to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al-Gharafa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Gharafa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
29.01.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa	2:2 ✺
22.01.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Ahli Doha	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa	2:4 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.12.24	Al-Hilal - Al-Gharafa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWWL
- Pakhtakor Tashkent
AFC Champions League
03.12.24	Pakhtakor - Al Ain	1:1 ✺
Uzbek League
30.11.24	Bunyodkor - Pakhtakor	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.24	Esteghlal - Pakhtakor	0:0 ✺
Uzbek League
21.11.24	Pakhtakor - AGMK	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
30.01.18	Al-Gharafa - Pakhtakor	2:1

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