Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 6

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: JAR Stadium (Tashkent)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	Sports18 3, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Montenegro	SportKlub
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Usa	Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Uzsport TV
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Pakhtakor		Al Ain

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.15
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.39	3.5	2.16
	3.28	3.57	2.08	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.3	3.6	2.12	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	3.47 ↓ (3.49)	2.12 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pakhtakor
28.9%

Draw
27%

Al Ain
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

26.8%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

26.2%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Al Ain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Pakhtakor - Al Ain Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pakhtakor will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Al Ain will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nazarov V. (G) 2. Askarov B. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 33. Abdumannopov D. 3. Azmiddinov S. 4. Abdullaev A. (C) 55. Abdumazhidov M. 8. Kholmatov D. 30. Jurakuziev O. 23. Buriev A. 44. Mahamadjonov M.	17. Eisa K. (G) 3. Kouadio K. 6. Nader Y. 8. Abbas M. 4. Cardoso F. 9. Laba K. 5. Park Yong-Woo 10. Kaku 21. Rahimi S. 15. Erik 11. Mohammed B. (C)
Substitutes
20. Abdullaev D. 99. Hoshimov U. 11. Kholdorkhonov P. 79. Makhamatov A. 40. Merk K. 6. Orinboev M. 15. Ortikboev D. 35. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 18. Saidnurullaev S. 1. Shevchenko N. (G) 24. Todorov K. 31. Usmonov M.	18. Al Baloushi K. 13. Barman A. 1. Bu Senda M. (G) 23. Butti K. 27. Gassama S. 16. Hashemi K. 35. Hassan S. (G) 46. Komari D. 20. Palacios M. 24. Salomoni F. 7. Segovia M. 70. Traore A.
Coaches
Shatskikh M.	Jardim L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Jurakuziev O. ⚽,
30', Abbas M. ↓, Segovia M. ↑,
34', Buriev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Rahimi S. ⚽, Segovia M. (A),
52', Nader Y. 🟥,
59', Kaku ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
73', Jurakuziev O. ↓, Hoshimov U. ↑,
80', Park Yong-Woo 🟨,
87', Adkhamzoda U. ↓, Orinboev M. ↑,
89', Azmiddinov S. 🟨,
90', Mahamadjonov M. 🟨,
90+4', Segovia M. ↓, Gassama S. ↑,
90+4', Cardoso F. ↓, Hashemi K. ↑,
90+8', Abdullaev A. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 12).

Pakhtakor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al Ain is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Ain could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Al Ain have a series of guest games.

Al Ain will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Pakhtakor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbek League
30.11.24	Bunyodkor - Pakhtakor	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.24	Esteghlal - Pakhtakor	0:0 ✺
Uzbek League
21.11.24	Pakhtakor - AGMK	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor	5:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Pakhtakor - Al-Rayyan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL
- Al Ain FC
AFC Champions League
25.11.24	Al Ain - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
UAE Football League
21.11.24	Al Urooba - Al Ain	2:4 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Ain	5:1 ✺
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
29.10.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Al Ain	3:0 ✺
UAE Football League
25.10.24	Dibba Al-Hisn - Al Ain	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
28.11.23	Al Ain - Pakhtakor	1:3
19.09.23	Pakhtakor - Al Ain	0:3
07.04.15	Al Ain - Pakhtakor	1:1
18.03.15	Pakhtakor - Al Ain	0:1

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