Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 15

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4
Asia	JACO Middle East
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	Canal GOAT, SporTV
China	QQ Sports
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Spiler1 TV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
Malaysia	SPOTV
Mexico	FOX One
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True Premier Football 3
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox


	Damac		Al-Ittihad Jeddah

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.5	1.22
	11	6.1	1.22
	10.66	6.39	1.23	Watch
	10	5.75	1.2
	12.2	6	1.18	Watch
	12	6.5	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.89 ↑ (7.29)	6.04 ↑ (5.06)	1.21 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damac
8.5%

Draw
15.3%

Al-Ittihad Jeddah
76.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

18.5%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

17.7%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ittihad Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damac than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	36.4%	63.6%

Damac - Al Ittihad Jeddah Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ittihad: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kewin (G) 12. Al Hawsawi S. 22. Al Khaibre A. R. 5. Rabea H. 13. Al Obaid A. 7. Al Qahtani A. 26. Sharahili R. 2. Sylla M. 20. Al Anazi D. (C) 90. Al Ghamdi H. 8. Vada V.	1. Rajkovic P. (G) 13. Al Shanqiti M. 2. Pereira D. 20. Sharahili A. 15. Kadesh H. 7. Kante N. 8. Fabinho 78. Roger 19. Diaby M. 9. Benzema K. (C) 34. Bergwijn S.
Substitutes
6. Abdullah T. 33. Al Baqaawi M. (G) 30. Al Ghamdi N. (G) 23. Al Hassan J. 88. Al Samiri K. 15. Harkass J. 80. Naji Y. 21. Omar A.	50. Al Absi M. (G) 22. Al Bishi A. 27. Al Ghamdi A. 80. Al Ghamdi H. 32. Al Julaydan A. 14. Al Nashri A. 11. Al Shehri S. 42. Fagihy M. 41. Fallatah M.
Coaches
Evangelista A.	Conceicao S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, Al Qahtani A. ⚽, Sharahili R. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Al Shanqiti M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Benzema K. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
57', Roger ↓, Al Ghamdi A. ↑,
59', Al Shanqiti M. 🟨,
68', Sharahili A. ↓, Al Julaydan A. ↑,
69', Al Ghamdi H. ↓, Naji Y. ↑,
69', Fabinho 🟨,
83', Al Qahtani A. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
83', Al Hawsawi S. ↓, Abdullah T. ↑,
85', Kante N. ↓, Al Bishi A. ↑,
90+5', Sharahili R. ↓, Harkass J. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,
90+8', 🟥,
90+11', 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Damac won 2.

Damac has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Ittihad is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Al-Ittihad is the clear favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Damac won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Damac won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Al Ittihad	8	5	2	1	14:9	5	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damac FC
Saudi Professional League
09.01.26	Al-Khaleej - Damac	4:0 ✺
04.01.26	Damac - Al-Hilal	0:2 ✺
30.12.25	Al Akhdoud - Damac	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Qadisiya - Damac	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Damac - Al-Najma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLWTT
- Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
09.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:4 ✺
03.01.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
31.12.25	Neom - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
23.12.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Nasaf Qarshi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
26.05.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Damac	1:0
27.01.25	Damac - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:1
23.05.24	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Damac	4:1
07.12.23	Damac - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	3:1
04.04.23	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Damac	3:0
11.10.22	Damac - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:1
03.03.22	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Damac	2:1

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