Match Info

Stars League - Round 37

Date: 27 June 2025, Friday


	Karbala		Al-Naft

	1	X	2
	5.85	3.35	1.62
				Watch
	5.74	3.34	1.6	Watch
	4.49	3.06	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↑ (4.43)	3.25 ↑ (3.06)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karbala
17.1%

Draw
28.2%

Al-Naft
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

29.7%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

29.2%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karbala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Karbala - Al Naft Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karbala (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Hamza H. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Hien S. ⚽,
14', 2 - 1, Talib M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
72', 2 - 2, Khalaf H. ⚽,
84', 2 - 3, Sabry A. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 4, Kareem W. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Karbala is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Naft has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Al-Naft is considered a favorite.

We predict that Al-Naft will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karbala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Karbala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karbala
Iraqi Premier League
18.06.25	Newroz - Karbala	1:0 ✺
13.06.25	Karbala - Al-Karma	0:2 ✺
19.05.25	Al-Minaa - Karbala	3:1 ✺
13.05.25	Karbala - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:4 ✺
06.05.25	Al-Talaba - Karbala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
19.06.25	Al-Kahraba - Al-Naft	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft	4:0 ✺
18.05.25	Al-Naft - Naft Maysan	0:0 ✺
12.05.25	Newroz - Al-Naft	0:1 ✺
06.05.25	Al-Naft - Duhok	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
03.02.25	Al-Naft - Karbala	1:0
31.05.24	Al-Naft - Karbala	1:1
05.12.23	Karbala - Al-Naft	0:2
24.02.23	Al-Naft - Karbala	1:0
15.07.13	Karbala - Al-Naft	N/A

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