Match Info

Stars League - Round 19

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Al-Karkh		Al-Zawraa

	1	X	2
	4.25	3	1.82
	4.56	3.16	1.79	Watch
	4.5	2.88	1.8
	4.18	3.24	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (4.07)	3.07 ↓ (3.19)	1.83 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karkh
20.8%

Draw
29.6%

Al-Zawraa
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

28.7%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

28.6%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Al Karkh - Al Zawraa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Hamoud Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 2 - 0, Khalid Kofi M. ⚽,
76', 3 - 0, Jamal M. ⚽,
85', Diori Y. 🟨,
87', 3 - 1, Abdulkareem H. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Al-Zawraa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Zawraa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Karkh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Zawraa	8	5	3	0	15:3	12	18
15	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
13.02.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Talaba	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Diyala - Al-Karkh	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Al-Karma - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Al-Karkh - Arbil	1:1 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Karkh - Newroz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTTW
- Al-Zawraa
AFC Champions League 2
17.02.26	Al Wasl - Al-Zawraa	4:2 ET ✺
10.02.26	Al-Zawraa - Al Wasl	3:2 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
05.02.26	Al-Zawraa - Zakho	4:2 ✺
01.02.26	Al-Naft - Al-Zawraa	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Duhok - Al-Zawraa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
20.06.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Zawraa	2:1
26.09.24	Al-Zawraa - Al-Karkh	2:1
26.04.24	Al-Karkh - Al-Zawraa	0:3
24.02.24	Al-Zawraa - Al-Karkh	1:1
16.07.23	Al-Zawraa - Al-Karkh	1:0
24.02.23	Al-Karkh - Al-Zawraa	2:2
25.11.21	Al-Zawraa - Al-Karkh	2:1

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