Match Info

Stars League - Round 18

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday


	Al-Karkh		Al-Talaba

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.82	2.25
	3.52	2.66	2.25
	3.43	2.75	2.28	Watch
	3.4	2.6	2.2
	3.51	2.7	2.24	Watch
	3.5	2.75	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.09)	2.71 ↓ (2.95)	2.23 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karkh
26.3%

Draw
33.2%

Al-Talaba
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

31%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

31.1%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Al-Talaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Al Karkh - Al Talaba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Artien M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 2, Muntadher A. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Al-Talaba is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Karkh won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
17	Al Talaba	8	1	4	3	9:14	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Talaba - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
04.02.26	Diyala - Al-Karkh	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Al-Karma - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Al-Karkh - Arbil	1:1 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Karkh - Newroz	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTTWT
- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
05.02.26	Al-Karma - Al-Talaba	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Gharraf	3:1 ✺
27.01.26	Al-Talaba - Diyala	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Arbil - Al-Talaba	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
02.05.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Talaba	1:4
05.12.24	Al-Talaba - Al-Karkh	1:0
02.04.24	Al-Karkh - Al-Talaba	1:1
28.10.23	Al-Talaba - Al-Karkh	1:0
30.06.23	Al-Karkh - Al-Talaba	1:0
06.02.23	Al-Talaba - Al-Karkh	2:0
17.06.22	Al-Talaba - Al-Karkh	0:0

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