Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 18

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Al-Hazem Club Stadium (Ar Rass)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Kholood		Al-Ettifaq Dammam

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.8
	2.3	3.5	2.78
	2.27	3.81	2.87
	2.23	3.86	2.8	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.63
	2.24	3.45	2.75	Watch
	2.25	3.66	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.75)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	2.78 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Kholood
41%

Draw
25.8%

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

26.7%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

26.6%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kholood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Kholood's performance.

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ettifaq Dammam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Kholood that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ettifaq Dammam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Al Kholood - Al Ettifaq Dammam Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Kholood will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Kholood: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ettifaq (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cozzani J. (G) 15. Solan R. 23. Gyomber N. 38. Pinas S. 7. Al Shehri S. 46. Al Aliwa A. 96. N'Doram K. 6. Buckley J. 70. Sawan M. 18. Enrique R. 11. Bahebri H. (C)	1. Rodak M. (G) 61. Al Otaibi R. 70. Khateeb A. A. 4. Hendry J. 3. Madu A. 15. Nkota M. 11. Duda O. 7. Ali M. 6. Al Ghamdi F. 9. Dembele M. 8. Wijnaldum G. (C)
Substitutes
24. Abdulghani O. 39. Al Dawsari A. 4. Al Dosari J. 8. Al Safari A. 30. Al Shammari M. (G) 48. Al Yahya M. (G) 25. Camara M. 99. Guga 19. Khalifah M.	29. Al Ghamdi Z. 17. Al Ghannam K. 14. Al Madani T. 58. Al Shammari Y. 87. Al Sibyani M. 18. Costa J. 77. Dawran M. M. Y. 22. Hawsawi A. (G) 37. Hindi A.
Coaches
Buckingham D.	Al Shehri S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Duda O. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Enrique R. ⚽, N'Doram K. (A),
42', Al Ghamdi F. 🟨,
45+2', Ali M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Al Ghannam K. ↑,
49', Sawan M. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Al Ghannam K. ⚽, Nkota M. (A),
57', Al Shehri S. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
63', N'Doram K. ↓, Al Dawsari A. ↑,
70', Duda O. ↓, Costa J. ↑,
76', Bahebri H. ↓, Guga ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Al Ghannam K. ⚽,
85', Dembele M. ↓, Al Sibyani M. ↑,
90', Nkota M. ↓, Hindi A. ↑,
90+5', Pinas S. 🟨,
90+6', Khateeb A. A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).

Al-Kholood has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Ettifaq is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Ettifaq may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Kholood won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Kholood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Al Ettifaq	8	3	3	2	12:12	0	12
8	Al Kholood	8	3	3	2	12:15	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kholood Club
Saudi Professional League
20.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Kholood	2:5 ✺
17.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
13.01.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Kholood	1:0 ✺
09.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:4 ✺
03.01.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Kholood	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLLW
- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
21.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Neom	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:1 ✺
12.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Khaleej	1:2 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:4 ✺
02.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
28.08.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Kholood	2:1
10.05.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0
10.01.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Kholood	2:3

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