Match Info

Stars League - Round 37

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday


	Al-Minaa		Al-Talaba

	1	X	2
	2.58	3	2.52
	2.55	3.13	2.53
	2.63	3.06	2.59	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.5
	2.57	3.04	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.46)	3.03 ↑ (3.01)	2.53 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Minaa
35%

Draw
29.6%

Al-Talaba
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29.8%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

28.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Minaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Al-Talaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Al Minaa - Al Talaba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Msuva S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Kararr J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Minaa won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Minaa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Minaa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Minaa	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
17	Al Talaba	8	1	4	3	9:14	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
20.05.26	Al-Minaa - Al Mosul	1:0 ✺
14.05.26	Al-Naft - Al-Minaa	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Zawraa	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Minaa	3:3 ✺
02.05.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLTL
- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
19.05.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Karma	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Talaba	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Al Mosul - Al-Talaba	2:2 ✺
05.05.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Diyala - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
19.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	1:2
21.06.25	Al-Minaa - Al-Talaba	2:3
02.11.24	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	1:0
05.07.24	Al-Minaa - Al-Talaba	0:0
09.12.23	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	0:1
22.06.22	Al-Minaa - Al-Talaba	1:1
12.01.22	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	0:0

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