The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya 28.7%
Draw 28.6%
Al-Karma 42.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.3%
30.7%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
31.8%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya's form might have worsened.
Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Karma's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Karma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya - Al Karma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Sediq S. 🟨,
86', Faisal A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th and 1st in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase).
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Al-Karma is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals (averaging 1:0 per game).
Iraq
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