The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Talaba 33.6%
Draw 30.3%
Arbil 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
29.6%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
28.7%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Talaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Talaba's form might have worsened.
Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arbil's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Talaba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arbil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Al Talaba - Arbil Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Al-Talaba will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Arbil will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Cabrera M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
63', 0 - 2, Barco C. ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, Abdulzahra A. ⚽,
78', 1 - 3, Temirov S. ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, Msuva S. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 3.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Al-Talaba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Talaba won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Erbil
8
5
2
1
12:3
9
17
17
Al Talaba
8
1
4
3
9:14
-5
7
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Talaba - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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