Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Najma		Al Akhdoud

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.7
	1.9	3.65	3.5	Watch
	1.89	3.98	3.66
	1.96	4.08	3.24
	2.05	3.5	2.88
	1.93	3.96	3.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.54)	3.83 ↑ (3.3)	3.47 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Najma
48.5%

Draw
24.5%

Al Akhdoud
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

27.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Najma's performance.

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Akhdoud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Najma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Akhdoud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Najma - Al Akhdoud Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Najma will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Najma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Braga (G) 24. Al Hawsawi A. 4. Al Haleel N. 3. Samir Caetano (C) 27. Al Subaie K. 98. Boutobba B. 80. Dunga N. 16. Guga 43. Tijanic D. 70. Felippe Cardoso 7. Lazaro	94. Samuel Portugal (G) 8. Al Zabdani H. (C) 15. Asiri N. 22. Gunter K. 42. Fagihy M. 13. Bassogog C. 18. Pedroza J. 12. Al Hatila A. 17. Gul G. 11. Ince B. 14. Al Abbas S.
Substitutes
19. Al Abdulraziq F. 90. Al Aqel M. S. M. 77. Al Dubais H. 87. Al Enezi W. (G) 33. Al Fatil M. 18. Al Harabi A. 6. Al Shammari K. 8. Al Shammeri A. 23. Al Tulayhi R.	21. Abu Abd M. 10. Al Jahif M. 99. Al Lazam K. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 98. Al Qaydhi M. 55. Borrell M. 87. Hawsawi G. 93. Nguen T. 19. Salem S.
Coaches
El Maestro N.	Sumudica M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Al Abbas S. ⚽, Al Hatila A. (A),
16', Dunga N. 🟨,
21', Pedroza J. 🟨,
31', Fagihy M. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Lazaro ⚽, Felippe Cardoso (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pedroza J. ↓, Borrell M. ↑,
51', Al Hawsawi A. 🟨,
57', Guga 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Bassogog C. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Guga ↓, Al Tulayhi R. ↑,
67', Al Hawsawi A. ↓, Al Abdulraziq F. ↑,
68', Samir Caetano 🟨,
69', Al Hatila A. ↓, Hawsawi G. ↑,
70', Al Abbas S. ↓, Al Lazam K. ↑,
80', Tijanic D. ↓, Al Aqel M. S. M. ↑,
81', Bassogog C. ↓, Nguen T. ↑,
84', Al Lazam K. 🟨,
85', Al Haleel N. ↓, Al Fatil M. ↑,
90', Ince B. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 3, Nguen T. ⚽, Al Lazam K. (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Al-Najma is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al Akhdoud has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Najma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Professional League
25.02.26	Al-Najma - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:5 ✺
19.02.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Najma	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Al-Najma - Al-Kholood	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Najma	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Najma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL
- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
23.02.26	Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya	2:4 ✺
12.02.26	Al Hazem - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal	0:6 ✺
02.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Neom	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
31.10.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Najma	2:1

Al-Najma - Al Akhdoud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide