Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 19

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	on.cc
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Najma		Al-Riyadh

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.25
	2.72	3.35	2.38
	2.78	3.71	2.38
	2.7	3.7	2.37
	2.63	3.25	2.3
	3.08	3.58	2.34	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.9)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)	2.35 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Najma
33.9%

Draw
26.6%

Al-Riyadh
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

27.2%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Al Najma - Al Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al-Najma will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Najma (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Al-Riyadh (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Najma (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Al-Riyadh (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Braga (G) 24. Al Hawsawi A. 4. Al Haleel N. 3. Samir Caetano (C) 2. Vitao 20. Flores D. 98. Boutobba B. 23. Al Tulayhi R. 43. Tijanic D. 14. Jasim A. 77. Al Dubais H.	82. Borjan M. (C) 33. Al Harfi A. 23. Al Khaibari M. 5. Barbet Y. 7. Al Boardi O. 20. Toze 19. Soro I. 35. Al Siyahi A. 8. Bayesh I. 99. Haroun S. 9. Sylla M.
Substitutes
19. Al Abdulraziq F. 87. Al Enezi W. (G) 18. Al Harabi A. 50. Al Hawsawi N. 22. Al Muqaitib K. (G) 55. Al Nakhli A. 8. Al Shammeri A. 27. Al Subaie K. 17. Mile M.	11. Al Absi K. 2. Al Saeed M. 22. Al Shammari A. (G) 88. Al Shehri Y. 14. Al Shubili T. 4. Gonzalez S. 17. Hassoun A. 12. Hazazi S. 98. Sali E.
Coaches
Silva M.	Carreno D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Haroun S. ⚽, Toze (A),
38', Al Hawsawi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Tijanic D. ⚽,
58', Haroun S. ↓, Hassoun A. ↑,
74', Al Harfi A. ↓, Al Absi K. ↑,
74', Al Boardi O. ↓, Hazazi S. ↑,
80', Al Dubais H. ↓, Al Shammeri A. ↑,
80', Vitao ↓, Al Subaie K. ↑,
87', Bayesh I. ↓, Sali E. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Al-Najma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	8:16	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Professional League
25.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya	1:3 ✺
20.01.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Najma	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Al-Najma - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
12.01.26	Al Hazem - Al-Najma	3:2 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTLL
- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Professional League
25.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Feiha	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
14.09.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Najma	2:1

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